Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f1a6a3f490ed9bc1edc78d8129c57d31678b5772b4c6f58405989ba48d2a364
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 51c | 1,744$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 1,727$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.13 | 5,655 | 42%2,376 W · 3,279 L | +75.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 41c | 784.64$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.7 | 1,139 | 50.8%579 W · 560 L | +27.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 58c | 756.31$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.65 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 40c | 600.19$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.75 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 591.29$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.73 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 46c | 530.19$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.48 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 317$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 2,696 | 35.6%961 W · 1,735 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 311.16$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 2,361 | 46.8%1,106 W · 1,255 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Yes | 59c | 272.76$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 36c | 267.89$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.74 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 251.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.86 | 2,588 | 52.1%1,348 W · 1,240 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 59c | 205.81$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 1,111 | 47.9%532 W · 579 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 59c | 205.81$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 59c | 205.8$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 1,719 | 48.5%833 W · 886 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 60c | 165.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 165.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0012…bff8backed Yes | 58c | 121.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 40c | 99.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 872 | 50.2%438 W · 434 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 74c | 97.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 39c | 81.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d010backed No | 35c | 71.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 40c | 61.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 792 | 50.1%397 W · 395 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Yes | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 60c | 51.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 40c | 40.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 99 | 69.7%69 W · 30 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Yes | 57c | 36.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 60c | 35.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 39c | 28.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64c…f45ebacked Yes | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +205.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b8…16fcbacked Yes | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 65c | 25.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Yes | 60c | 24.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4988…c244backed Yes | 58c | 20.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)FC Midtjylland won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)FC Midtjylland won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Aarhus GF won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)Aarhus GF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.