TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0012…bff8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+183.7%+$64.06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.82
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.55
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88%+$24.6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$35.84
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.95
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.06
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+300%+$129.47
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.58
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.65
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+205.9%+$74.92
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$64.53
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.11
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+94%+$41.84
All 20 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.77
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.92
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$21.97
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.02
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$29.17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$18.77
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.61
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$54.82
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+148.2%+$26.02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$4.37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.4
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.94
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.01
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$7.35
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.32
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$47.23
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$60.57
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$67.99
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.81
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.66
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.41
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.22
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$67.88
Credit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$26.14
Copa Colsanitas: Camila Osorio vs Jazmin Ortenzibacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.07
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.35
Credit One Charleston Open: Kayla Day vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.12
Bucharest Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.08
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alex Bolt vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
Credit One Charleston Open: Elvina Kalieva vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.86
Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Stefan Haita vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+30%+$3.82
Alicante: Pedro Martinez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$10.83
All 12 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick7cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.78
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+155.9%+$35.73
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.31
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.58
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.34
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$241.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$38.14
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.92
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+321.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+321.4%+$43.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$138.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$50.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$28.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$4.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked ULF Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.