TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fnaticof Fnatic, ULF Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$235,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,474

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,879 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2606…ba10backed ULF Esports17c19,970$3,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,394.871675%12 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+60.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Fnatic66c18,641$12,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,413.1354751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked ULF Esports35c17,870$6,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,324.94728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed ULF Esports39c13,461$5,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,266.7828548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3522…188fbacked ULF Esports34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4003342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…ee57backed ULF Esports35c8,079$2,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,812.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+63.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed ULF Esports1c7,589$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.956418.8%12 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed ULF Esports40c5,868$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.42055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Fnatic69c3,783$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.6241835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fnatic61c3,550$2,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.7734847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eb9…cb5dbacked ULF Esports24c3,371$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.5715145%68 W · 83 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Fnatic60c3,275$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.115666.1%37 W · 19 L+11.1wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+97.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed ULF Esports43c3,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.39933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f6…8160backed Fnatic55c3,000$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c8…a9ffbacked Fnatic59c2,899$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.071833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked ULF Esports45c2,635$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.147142.3%30 W · 41 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed ULF Esports35c2,605$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.884660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed ULF Esports48c2,592$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed ULF Esports31c2,571$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.2662156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked ULF Esports16c1,841$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.57742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed ULF Esports29c1,707$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Fnatic80c1,629$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.955162.7%32 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked ULF Esports21c1,476$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.123537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Fnatic54c1,425$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.25650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Fnatic79c1,114$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.0178162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Fnatic59c1,109$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9910844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe438…e80cbacked ULF Esports10c1,082$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.08650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+122.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Fnatic61c1,031$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.6514252.8%75 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed ULF Esports39c1,022$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ULF Esports19c998.28$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1270251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed ULF Esports35c952$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.21957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked ULF Esports21c914.23$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.433050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05df…e268backed Fnatic60c868.64$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.32138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked ULF Esports16c744.78$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.671266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+47.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb372…4048backed ULF Esports45c701.94$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Fnatic58c700$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.3825745.9%118 W · 139 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Fnatic65c699.98$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9955152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Fnatic70c699.66$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.531060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f9c…3624backed Fnatic79c663.73$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.82666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Fnatic66c660.75$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.777847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Fnatic73c618.3$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.163046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c42…f48cbacked Fnatic63c581.21$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked ULF Esports36c551.61$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.581540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Fnatic58c548.22$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.925444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f6…ffbdbacked ULF Esports7c542.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.03425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Fnatic78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11013642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6469…c029backed ULF Esports44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Fnatic58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21025555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Fnatic64c499.99$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1806445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed ULF Esports19c499.97$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9953442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd31…8004backed ULF Esports42c495$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.8522047.7%105 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…79d3backed ULF Esports18c490.97$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-43.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Fnatic61c488.02$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.6513558.5%79 W · 56 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked ULF Esports31c465.86$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.14153.7%22 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked ULF Esports26c454.97$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9319157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3831…d788backed Fnatic61c448.87$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.871030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-52%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked ULF Esports42c430.67$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5118651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fa…2b82backed Fnatic63c424.48$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.381361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed ULF Esports34c417.98$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7326051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…3fd9backed ULF Esports35c417.71$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.32661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed Fnatic75c409.41$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-55.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked ULF Esports20c399.94$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.992213.6%3 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.21per pick34cpaid-63.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Fnatic64c390.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.761662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+30.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95bb…288dbacked ULF Esports6c379.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.95944.1%26 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Fnatic62c363.4$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.511735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-36.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked ULF Esports36c362.78$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8422352.9%118 W · 105 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b04…cf8bbacked ULF Esports12c361.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.061936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed ULF Esports18c360.93$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.051435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebf6…c629backed ULF Esports30c357.53$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.131650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed ULF Esports30c356$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6542540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc97…2811backed Fnatic59c337.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.15977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked ULF Esports30c334.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x93ff…2199backed Fnatic70c319.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962975.9%22 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed ULF Esports29c306.67$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9530147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed ULF Esports35c304.49$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.964940.8%20 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc11f…2e71backed ULF Esports8c302.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Fnatic64c300.89$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.579750.5%49 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed ULF Esports42c300.65$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.161952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2754…bf5cbacked ULF Esports6c300.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe803…9733backed Fnatic68c288.74$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+96.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Fnatic71c288$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.886053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Fnatic70c285.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7914645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10cf…60cfbacked Fnatic63c282.54$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.542055%11 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed ULF Esports24c278.7$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.333647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed ULF Esports29c270.15$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3932152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5add…f36fbacked Fnatic79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.165549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked Fnatic79c244.3$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.318653.8%100 W · 86 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Fnatic65c231.98$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9128247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7fb…4ce4backed Fnatic61c231.84$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.36825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-57.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc004…c095backed ULF Esports44c229.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…25c0backed Fnatic56c204.69$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9712540.8%51 W · 74 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked ULF Esports19c199.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3915217.8%27 W · 125 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed ULF Esports15c196.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7517332.4%56 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fnatic71c187.44$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.081,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9e3…93f2backed Fnatic80c183.13$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.85875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62d6…54e8backed Fnatic56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.21947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefd4…977abacked Fnatic57c174$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0401…2f0ebacked ULF Esports44c172.12$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff64…3d67backed ULF Esports21c168.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891e…1e7abacked ULF Esports7c167.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.123470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.