TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5add…f36f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT5549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$32.54
Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.72
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.28
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.1
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.24
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.2
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.15
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$16.33
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$62.25
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.02
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$243.7
Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.16
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.18
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$53.61
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.72
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$115.26
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$68.78
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$50.76
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$22.62
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Spread: England (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+79%+$316.18
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.9%+$88.87
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$122.66
LoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+63.9%+$156
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+105.9%+$859.17
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$100
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$325
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$75
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$97.8
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+49.9%+$194.16
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$84.62
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Secret Whales (BO1)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO1)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$65.19
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+176.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+176.2%+$123.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$146.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$272.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.