Earnings · resolved market
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13c8546e1600edd62efa2c0530d99214cbbb3e9eb27c3e72fd09e50e874f17b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $995,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $880,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $995,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 545 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c38…1218backed No | 14c | 72,962$10,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,017.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed No | 4c | 35,913$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8451…2bd1backed No | 0c | 28,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…f848backed No | 1c | 27,327$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 5c | 22,690$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.5 | 760 | 37.6%286 W · 474 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…29e6backed No | 0c | 22,566$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9be3…c64fbacked No | 16c | 15,423$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 5c | 13,474$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…66edbacked No | 6c | 12,634$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked No | 8c | 12,064$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.07 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0aa…1f7fbacked No | 27c | 10,963$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b88…19c8backed No | 8c | 10,000$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb34…51febacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…d38bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed No | 7c | 9,999$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 13c | 9,719$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.86 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0dd0backed No | 15c | 9,650$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 12c | 9,227$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.42 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa502…4086backed No | 11c | 8,580$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked No | 18c | 7,486$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 11c | 7,318$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9d…3f98backed No | 10c | 7,102$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 7c | 6,950$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +143.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…6ab0backed No | 0c | 6,243$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked No | 6c | 5,733$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed No | 9c | 5,658$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…a5f3backed No | 12c | 5,353$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b2…a51abacked Yes | 76c | 5,325$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…5ba0backed No | 8c | 5,304$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…809abacked No | 8c | 5,291$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…3734backed No | 8c | 5,172$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 9c | 5,056$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 79c | 5,000$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 19c | 4,700$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 4,684$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.13 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b50…d74dbacked No | 9c | 4,466$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b4…27f7backed No | 8c | 4,377$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 9c | 4,272$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…abc0backed No | 12c | 4,185$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…2b8fbacked No | 7c | 4,089$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df8…4961backed No | 12c | 4,022$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed No | 7c | 4,017$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.36 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 7c | 4,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…3377backed No | 7c | 3,991$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked No | 12c | 3,850$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf1…98cbbacked No | 10c | 3,500$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…58b0backed No | 15c | 3,461$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4938…aae6backed No | 10c | 3,276$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…6658backed No | 10c | 3,276$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf64b…e382backed No | 8c | 3,208$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 16c | 3,000$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…4a1dbacked No | 8c | 2,942$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…f6b3backed No | 8c | 2,900$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a5…7850backed No | 9c | 2,724$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…ebfdbacked No | 10c | 2,698$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…1241backed No | 11c | 2,655$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked No | 8c | 2,650$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…6549backed No | 8c | 2,547$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eda…719ebacked No | 8c | 2,530$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…4c77backed No | 10c | 2,510$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…044bbacked No | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2697…8144backed No | 8c | 2,487$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f8…bed5backed No | 4c | 2,273$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 9c | 2,271$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.75 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…599dbacked No | 13c | 2,264$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked No | 8c | 2,200$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…d11fbacked No | 6c | 2,200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 7c | 2,194$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4746…9a30backed No | 10c | 2,155$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…8693backed No | 7c | 2,136$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…adc8backed No | 15c | 2,069$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7136…8163backed No | 10c | 2,012$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b04…3a41backed No | 9c | 2,000$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 7c | 2,000$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a3a4backed No | 10c | 2,000$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…3592backed No | 5c | 1,980$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 8c | 1,905$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.07 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…906bbacked No | 13c | 1,877$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked No | 15c | 1,823$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 10c | 1,802$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed No | 12c | 1,800$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked No | 14c | 1,792$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…1911backed No | 12c | 1,773$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked No | 11c | 1,756$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…822fbacked No | 12c | 1,748$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…3d70backed No | 9c | 1,724$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…0b60backed No | 15c | 1,716$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…339dbacked No | 14c | 1,676$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed No | 8c | 1,665$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 11c | 1,604$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…6b60backed No | 6c | 1,603$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 3c | 1,600$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…c051backed No | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0015…a143backed No | 12c | 1,572$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02c…2852backed No | 10c | 1,553$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…7e10backed No | 13c | 1,550$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…4dc1backed No | 18c | 1,489$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 8c | 1,472$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…c581backed No | 17c | 1,469$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 11c | 1,454$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.12 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.