TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3925…c094

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
286
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT7052.9%37 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$705.3
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+135.2%+$58.05
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+57%+$41.05
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.34
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+185.2%+$45.79
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.15
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+145.3%+$16.77
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.88
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26.26
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.82
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.92
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$20.94
US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$35.15
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.7
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.72
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.14
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$59.31
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+302.3%+$82.28
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$14.29
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jorge Malavet be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.93
Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Hope Scheppelman be the Republican nominee for CO-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.19
Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$24.69
Will Paul LePage be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+151%+$37.3
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.92
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.83
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+169.1%+$37.7
Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Will Adam Perez Arquette be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$7.63
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?backed Dems · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$21.8
Will Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+406.4%+$103.52
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$56.28
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2119%4 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.11
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.37
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$304.13
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+536.2%+$1,410.51
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.64
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$101.87
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$69.66
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+36.6%+$93.49
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26%+$43.78
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$33.16
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.24
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22.22
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$165.95
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.53
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$151.85
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$49.27
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.39
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$34.2
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 21 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.63
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$54.43
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.93
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.05
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$44.93
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.18
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.36
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.12
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+43.8%+$217.53
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+60.5%+$100.45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$141.59
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+27.3%+$6.48
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+305.9%+$157.36
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$69.76
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+51.5%+$8.16
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$336
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.32
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.1
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+37%+$54.27
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$125.2
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.4
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25.65
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$55.5
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+66.7%+$320
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$164.99
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+280.1%+$211.89
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,766Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+171.5%+$4,743.07
Will the government shutdown end November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$49
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61.61
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.06
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$308
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.85
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.51
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$15.47
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$539.46
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+66.7%+$262
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+222.6%+$69
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will "The Addams Family" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+50.6%+$11.25
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+58.3%+$173.19
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+28.4%+$6.88
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$497.77
Will Wuthering Heights be the highest grossing movie this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+41.4%+$66.64
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$142.32
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$118.72
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$48.95
Will "Wuthering Heights" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 18m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.14
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.08
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$377.82
All 13 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+131.1%+$67.51
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.98
Will Opendoor dip to $4.25 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27.91
Will Meta dip to $600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.75
Will Meta dip to $620 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+31.5%+$24.94
Will Tesla dip to $383 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Will Google dip to $285 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Will NVIDIA reach $208 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+28.9%+$25.38
Will Microsoft dip to $390 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40.12
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 29 above $460?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Microchip Technology (MCHP) be the best performing company in the Nasdaq 100 during December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $100 end of December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$93.71
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$56.16
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.66
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+122.6%+$118.6
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$26.58
Will Nepali Congress win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.21
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$31.1
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.32
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.27
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$68.34
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.58
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.45
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+614.3%+$86
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+225.8%+$168.52
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.11
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.37
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30.53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$190
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.43
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.37
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$140.48
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+48.8%+$26.22
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+219.6%+$720.98
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$524.33
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-81.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-75.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-71.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+109%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,078Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+48.4%+$521.84
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,318Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+32.8%+$1,415.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Senators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$44.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$184.99
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$164
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+219.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals?backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+219.8%+$80.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.7%+$7.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.