TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,820,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,820,570 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef9f…8924backed Yes0c588,231$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.416619.7%13 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes1c355,162$2,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,607.8240%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed Yes0c318,693$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.6918133.7%61 W · 120 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c4…24b2backed Yes0c278,355$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.3620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Yes1c264,420$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,110.1348343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aed…46fabacked Yes0c206,410$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.411947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa98d…dff6backed Yes0c156,703$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.71711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-77.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes1c123,583$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.7346426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Yes1c114,688$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.134456.8%25 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa324…afc9backed Yes0c96,191$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.57180%0 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c71,184$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.13994%4 W · 95 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c67,337$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.639435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…683bbacked Yes0c62,117$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3844…02e7backed Yes0c62,117$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x328c…4bacbacked Yes0c62,112$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ea…37bfbacked Yes0c62,111$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c20…b3f6backed Yes0c62,111$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ba…1c9bbacked Yes0c62,111$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4440…9ccdbacked Yes0c62,111$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b86…4accbacked Yes0c62,111$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b29…1cafbacked Yes0c62,111$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b5…b678backed Yes0c62,111$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8345…f031backed Yes0c62,111$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9780…4d8ebacked Yes0c62,111$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5092…4627backed Yes0c62,111$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eff…dd47backed Yes0c62,111$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db0…61eebacked Yes0c62,111$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe307…ebcbbacked Yes0c62,111$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f11…51c5backed Yes0c62,111$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5d…6ce6backed Yes0c62,111$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes0c61,178$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.18120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b9…1951backed Yes1c59,000$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4131010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-83.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb36b…7804backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec80…2cd7backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Yes3c44,917$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.594542.2%19 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3925…c094backed Yes1c44,000$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3081533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62cd…0c48backed Yes0c43,046$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd33c…c32ebacked Yes0c43,046$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d84…8e0abacked Yes0c43,046$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0620backed Yes0c43,046$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x091a…db63backed Yes0c43,046$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x114c…54c7backed Yes0c43,046$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x486d…0512backed Yes0c43,046$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a62…6896backed Yes0c43,046$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x468d…9b44backed Yes0c43,046$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda0…ae1dbacked Yes0c43,046$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc113…65f6backed Yes0c43,046$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa69a…86adbacked Yes0c43,046$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ba8…7c4ebacked Yes0c43,046$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7025…7ab5backed Yes0c43,046$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadbe…8d7cbacked Yes0c43,000$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5b…dcd1backed Yes1c41,356$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c9e…0d49backed Yes0c41,059$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59f4…7be7backed Yes0c41,059$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27a9…85b4backed Yes0c41,059$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7869…45a2backed Yes0c41,059$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f02…2f36backed Yes0c41,059$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee9…8a32backed Yes0c41,059$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f5…1ac1backed Yes0c41,059$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa314…362fbacked Yes0c41,059$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d78…eab3backed Yes0c41,059$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5597…5f4bbacked Yes0c41,059$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc14a…922abacked Yes0c41,059$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fb…5bf2backed Yes0c41,059$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acb…e026backed Yes0c41,059$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a2e…7797backed Yes0c41,059$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeff…0138backed Yes0c41,059$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e29…d1f7backed Yes0c41,059$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dc2…35adbacked Yes0c41,059$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db9…ae13backed Yes0c40,644$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8395…afebbacked Yes0c40,644$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb97e…3a41backed Yes0c40,644$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec4e…29d9backed Yes0c40,644$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5b…e1a5backed Yes0c38,059$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a98…f8f6backed Yes0c38,059$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6344…490bbacked Yes0c38,059$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6781…420dbacked Yes0c38,059$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1189…1860backed Yes0c38,059$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff64…9706backed Yes0c38,059$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa103…3acdbacked Yes0c38,059$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecf2…b941backed Yes0c38,059$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf87b…5c4bbacked Yes0c38,059$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14cb…c4d1backed Yes0c38,059$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f2c…b384backed Yes0c38,059$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe732…1731backed Yes0c38,059$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff06…0987backed Yes0c38,059$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe579…b631backed Yes0c38,059$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9665…388cbacked Yes0c38,059$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…5951backed Yes0c38,059$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe95…fea2backed Yes0c38,059$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x637e…2f2bbacked Yes0c38,059$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2264…6eb2backed Yes0c38,059$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes0c33,499$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0418650%93 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcc2…951fbacked Yes0c32,789$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59d6…0704backed Yes3c32,647$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.0818755.6%104 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf0…251cbacked Yes3c31,730$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.717339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes1c29,025$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.151978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e5f…95e2backed Yes1c27,000$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8d…0002backed Yes0c26,500$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5960%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes2c25,060$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.2682440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.