TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,122,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,249,046

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,122,305 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Yes6c1,052,878$62,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,143.5816841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes5c986,216$46,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,614.1687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes3c389,387$10,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,306.793718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ff…f0c4backed Yes5c380,261$19,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,703.347147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes0c317,770$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.392931%9 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes3c304,497$10,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,098.3239435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes5c297,588$15,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,546.1272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd600…b66ebacked Yes3c292,728$9,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,914.86119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid+159.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Yes5c264,703$13,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,650.6160351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes2c244,124$4,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,441.5440133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes1c233,001$3,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,282.3916339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a3c…1734backed Yes7c206,629$14,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,056.6550%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes4c204,763$7,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,887.1543348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes5c169,114$8,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,138.9982440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes4c160,303$5,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,953.32010%2 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-25.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Yes3c138,958$3,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,533.9310042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes2c126,351$2,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,587.371,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Yes6c120,784$6,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,803.932934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes2c112,250$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.014910.2%5 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdf2…23e3backed Yes1c102,263$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.113231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+136.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb29b…3537backed Yes6c101,218$5,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,898.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25ed…ffe0backed Yes3c100,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,750977.8%7 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.46per pick32cpaid+156.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Yes5c100,000$4,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,586.123129%9 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes3c99,545$3,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.4911639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d9…ecd7backed Yes4c99,470$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7187…f08bbacked Yes4c96,455$3,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,879.132326.1%6 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Yes4c94,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,749.994456.8%25 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes4c90,317$3,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,300.7931347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes7c89,752$6,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,163.1762144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes4c77,915$2,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.47417.3%3 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e2…667fbacked Yes2c75,661$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.774032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b9…1d5fbacked Yes7c75,322$5,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,591.13333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes6c72,826$4,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,232.1135450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes5c71,595$3,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,613.388823.9%21 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes5c65,916$3,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,105.713010%3 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes6c65,255$3,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,792.5360834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f1…05a4backed Yes2c63,796$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes2c63,145$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.969131.9%29 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8242…6577backed Yes6c61,979$3,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,753.82633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f1…e04abacked Yes4c59,909$2,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.64560%3 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick18cpaid+167.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Yes6c58,913$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.9414727.9%41 W · 106 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d87…eecfbacked Yes3c58,305$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa8b…0f4fbacked Yes6c56,527$3,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,377.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes2c54,749$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.246820.6%14 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff4…7ebbbacked Yes7c54,269$3,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,723.264337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes1c53,505$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.5246426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes4c53,203$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.0333146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Yes5c53,099$2,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,773.0319937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd859…c7c2backed Yes4c52,565$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.281816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-44.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c8…9617backed Yes6c49,041$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.173030%9 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa54…c182backed Yes5c48,053$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.751816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-62.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1655…a669backed Yes3c47,387$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Yes5c47,260$2,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,587.8619659.7%117 W · 79 L+17.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf24c…8bd9backed Yes4c45,059$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f3…4bcebacked Yes5c44,402$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.972326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Yes6c42,527$2,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,522.234042.5%17 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Yes5c40,957$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.2310239.2%40 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd008…135dbacked Yes6c40,001$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.85812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+141%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2497…e26abacked Yes4c39,728$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.95425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0862…9e24backed Yes2c39,101$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes4c38,593$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes2c37,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-85.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e1f…7828backed Yes0c36,687$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.27728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed Yes5c36,045$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.691315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+126.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes5c35,574$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,706.02650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+68.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Yes4c35,342$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.2147048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Yes3c35,277$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.621910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+58.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes4c33,066$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.811741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2c…94c5backed Yes3c32,792$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.499141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed Yes3c32,703$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8666333.3%21 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+50.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdd…8bd4backed Yes5c32,383$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.852420.8%5 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-51.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes2c31,655$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.2256945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e0…3a93backed Yes3c31,381$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.059214.1%13 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes7c30,966$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.43333%1 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes4c30,642$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.66633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-41.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd002…595abacked Yes5c30,427$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f0…d345backed Yes1c29,190$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.582536%9 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+115.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ea…ae12backed Yes7c29,001$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c54…5cf7backed Yes5c28,726$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.74922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes4c27,997$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.183333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+65.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eae…a704backed Yes2c27,385$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.721729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+109.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa09a…5cb8backed Yes1c25,724$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-69.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d0…904ebacked Yes4c25,724$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42f…f19cbacked Yes0c25,322$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7390%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df0…48f0backed Yes4c25,311$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.81030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes2c25,309$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.6646.3%4 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…b05ebacked Yes3c25,206$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.571526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+131.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes3c25,139$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.75128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes5c25,087$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.87147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes6c25,000$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47558740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x609e…0996backed Yes2c24,965$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.4250%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Yes2c24,935$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.455933.9%20 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e86…29abbacked Yes8c24,753$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-50.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes4c24,324$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.359646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa252…dbf4backed Yes8c23,727$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.722650%13 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Yes6c23,465$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.7648751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Yes1c23,429$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19015911.9%19 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes6c22,703$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.34984.1%4 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-61.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6747…a64fbacked Yes5c22,526$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.173525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-34.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes4c22,271$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.44812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick3cpaid+267.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.