NBA · resolved market
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x796e791e7058571e460278814fc7a3183752285338f1400087b98bef3c447908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,030,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,757,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,030,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,733 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 809,533$8,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,775.95 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 3c | 799,130$23,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,267.36 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked Yes | 2c | 477,440$9,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,259.97 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +159.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 2c | 450,044$9,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,382.08 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 2c | 408,093$7,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,267.54 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Yes | 3c | 327,571$8,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,207.95 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 2c | 321,842$7,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950.91 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 257,988$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.75 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…799bbacked Yes | 4c | 250,876$9,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,692.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 2c | 234,376$5,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,196.9 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 3c | 219,115$6,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,454.24 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f1…05a4backed Yes | 2c | 174,148$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…2e9abacked Yes | 3c | 142,841$4,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…23e3backed Yes | 3c | 125,785$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.92 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Yes | 2c | 123,959$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.44 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 1c | 122,722$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.84 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…4238backed Yes | 2c | 120,219$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Yes | 3c | 120,087$4,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,110 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…53f6backed Yes | 1c | 117,558$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Yes | 2c | 115,338$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.94 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 96,791$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.65 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc4…911ebacked Yes | 2c | 96,321$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes | 1c | 93,358$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.19 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 92,515$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.25 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 1c | 87,813$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.84 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 3c | 82,553$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.6 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 2c | 80,155$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.66 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…2128backed Yes | 2c | 76,749$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…997dbacked Yes | 0c | 76,539$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 4c | 73,376$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.06 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…5f35backed Yes | 2c | 73,138$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 71,553$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.1 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Yes | 2c | 67,792$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.31 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…135dbacked Yes | 4c | 66,150$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +141%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 4c | 62,781$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.73 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 4c | 62,406$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.02 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fee…55fdbacked Yes | 1c | 60,876$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.18 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes | 1c | 60,667$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a6…a3b5backed Yes | 2c | 60,011$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 2c | 56,555$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.1 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 1c | 55,555$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16dd…adf5backed Yes | 2c | 55,318$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.75 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 3c | 55,311$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.86 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Yes | 5c | 55,270$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883.56 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…c7c2backed Yes | 0c | 54,545$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…615abacked Yes | 2c | 54,030$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.97 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Yes | 1c | 53,778$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.12 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 2c | 50,604$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes | 2c | 50,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…9830backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Yes | 1c | 49,577$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +252%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85e0…3a93backed Yes | 2c | 46,365$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.77 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc612…7d6dbacked Yes | 4c | 44,650$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.94 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…fe53backed Yes | 1c | 44,272$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.14 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 1cpaid | +229.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…5078backed Yes | 2c | 44,238$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +158.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda8b…f67fbacked Yes | 2c | 43,538$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed Yes | 1c | 39,706$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.67 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…19ccbacked Yes | 2c | 39,587$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.22 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 39,324$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.84 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca58…efb9backed Yes | 2c | 39,213$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 4c | 37,873$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.48 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 1c | 37,211$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.46 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 3c | 36,184$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.15 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 3c | 34,796$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.82 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…0e4dbacked Yes | 2c | 33,912$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Yes | 1c | 33,275$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.42 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…ec04backed Yes | 2c | 33,223$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…467abacked Yes | 3c | 33,034$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…9e49backed Yes | 4c | 32,774$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Yes | 4c | 31,836$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.94 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76db…11dcbacked Yes | 2c | 31,086$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc078…5415backed Yes | 5c | 28,486$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 3c | 27,162$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.22 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…7b86backed Yes | 2c | 27,053$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 1c | 26,125$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.56 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4089…99d5backed Yes | 0c | 25,475$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Yes | 5c | 25,128$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.64 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d59…2589backed Yes | 3c | 25,102$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.44 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Yes | 3c | 25,036$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…2937backed Yes | 2c | 24,324$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…81d5backed Yes | 5c | 24,228$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.76 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 1c | 24,092$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 4c | 24,069$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.24 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d2…b69fbacked Yes | 2c | 23,611$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 1c | 23,458$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.3 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d345backed Yes | 1c | 23,250$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba07…d785backed Yes | 2c | 22,492$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Yes | 3c | 22,405$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.51 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 2c | 22,334$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 4c | 21,450$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.75 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…a364backed Yes | 3c | 21,337$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…8477backed Yes | 2c | 21,300$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.14 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…7e41backed Yes | 2c | 21,033$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.62 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 2c | 21,000$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…49c1backed Yes | 5c | 20,930$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…7a4abacked Yes | 3c | 20,870$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb86…1a3abacked Yes | 4c | 20,010$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Yes | 2c | 20,000$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.76 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Yes | 2c | 20,000$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.63 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.