NBA · resolved market
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa49fc89bfb87bb302bfc43567709850565161bdaed5bc506bff4b85fd3c5c2ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,570,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,356,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,570,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 450 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 1,623,938$8,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,023.93 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 0c | 1,242,171$5,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,461.91 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 1,059,644$4,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,717.25 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 1c | 632,629$4,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,218.63 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 1c | 514,893$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.5 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 0c | 459,276$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.55 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 1c | 438,327$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…2cc0backed Yes | 2c | 412,859$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 0c | 348,903$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.14 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 1c | 332,135$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.81 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 1c | 240,377$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.85 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6421backed Yes | 1c | 114,210$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes | 0c | 108,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf24c…8bd9backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a9…0537backed Yes | 0c | 99,480$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc280…12a8backed Yes | 1c | 89,514$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 1c | 86,786$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41be…d38bbacked Yes | 0c | 85,266$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 1c | 82,706$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.05 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 81,262$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.51 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ca…ed14backed Yes | 1c | 80,282$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…fb8cbacked Yes | 1c | 76,346$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b68…f943backed Yes | 1c | 75,000$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…27c7backed Yes | 1c | 72,703$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb13…c943backed Yes | 0c | 67,651$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…7deebacked Yes | 0c | 66,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 8cpaid | +425%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Yes | 1c | 65,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…e4a7backed Yes | 0c | 64,704$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…ee68backed Yes | 0c | 64,476$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13bf…4366backed Yes | 0c | 60,600$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 1c | 59,536$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.82 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 1c | 58,769$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51d…6084backed Yes | 0c | 56,928$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x609e…0996backed Yes | 1c | 56,432$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…6c97backed Yes | 1c | 56,314$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419c…9111backed Yes | 1c | 56,217$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…46c7backed Yes | 1c | 55,524$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e50…2d32backed Yes | 0c | 55,472$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 53,651$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.16 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…a79ebacked Yes | 1c | 53,109$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.88 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b0…c117backed Yes | 0c | 51,056$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…5800backed Yes | 1c | 50,956$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…f0d9backed Yes | 0c | 50,562$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…dff6backed Yes | 1c | 48,257$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.72 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…b411backed Yes | 0c | 48,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6085…8ec3backed Yes | 1c | 47,709$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…9f44backed Yes | 1c | 46,460$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x759f…9954backed Yes | 1c | 46,373$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…9ba4backed Yes | 0c | 45,392$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…dbd4backed Yes | 1c | 45,175$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee2b…bc24backed Yes | 1c | 44,277$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 1c | 43,692$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.85 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…d6dabacked Yes | 1c | 43,307$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…98f8backed Yes | 0c | 43,215$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…2596backed Yes | 1c | 42,481$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25fa…7af0backed Yes | 1c | 42,450$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.81 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…bb4abacked Yes | 0c | 42,269$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4089…99d5backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…708ebacked Yes | 1c | 38,963$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41e…eba5backed Yes | 0c | 38,616$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…f5acbacked Yes | 0c | 37,444$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bb…e491backed Yes | 1c | 36,951$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d8…2643backed Yes | 1c | 36,028$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd4…6ebcbacked Yes | 1c | 35,986$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.9 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf884…46c8backed Yes | 0c | 35,665$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd76…22febacked Yes | 1c | 34,379$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…d65fbacked Yes | 1c | 33,992$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d88…b0c4backed Yes | 1c | 33,191$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f38…1853backed Yes | 2c | 32,938$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bff…7291backed Yes | 1c | 31,995$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…afc9backed Yes | 1c | 31,700$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.4 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…7931backed Yes | 1c | 31,344$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…c3a2backed Yes | 1c | 30,833$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…41b2backed Yes | 1c | 30,653$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 29,970$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.82 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 1c | 29,965$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.79 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…ae34backed Yes | 1c | 29,427$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…9499backed Yes | 1c | 29,068$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3154…17f5backed Yes | 0c | 28,308$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…95e2backed Yes | 1c | 27,400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.8 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1951backed Yes | 1c | 27,000$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…3185backed Yes | 1c | 26,265$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3b…5eafbacked Yes | 1c | 25,499$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653d…5e2abacked Yes | 1c | 25,086$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d2…b69fbacked Yes | 1c | 25,082$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.95 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7043…1425backed Yes | 1c | 24,999$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed43…51b0backed Yes | 1c | 24,813$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Yes | 1c | 22,390$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…ca90backed Yes | 1c | 21,721$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 1c | 21,000$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 1c | 21,000$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5890…9cd7backed Yes | 1c | 20,200$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 1c | 19,744$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.21 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…7e76backed Yes | 0c | 19,281$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…fc86backed Yes | 1c | 18,899$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 1c | 18,680$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.11 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…b21bbacked Yes | 1c | 18,304$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.95 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.