TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,720,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,720,945 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 603 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c3,700,730$4,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,115.7258%2 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-85.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes0c1,464,750$5,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,775.5687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c565,111$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.2939435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes1c248,640$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.9331347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3030…89aebacked Yes1c209,387$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9e…2d39backed Yes1c209,248$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d4e…df51backed Yes1c205,994$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1674…1aa3backed Yes1c205,976$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e6…6ddebacked Yes1c202,679$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ca…155cbacked Yes1c200,279$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf94…59a6backed Yes1c200,279$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef8…9cb2backed Yes1c200,279$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes1c199,998$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.99214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c58…58cdbacked Yes1c199,871$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbc…8a7fbacked Yes1c199,863$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dd6…34ccbacked Yes1c199,863$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc805…c5f8backed Yes1c199,863$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x921d…efb8backed Yes1c177,956$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.691540%6 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes1c174,650$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.064910.2%5 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd42f…5b5bbacked Yes1c139,839$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe374…8385backed Yes1c139,839$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8838…f1cebacked Yes1c139,639$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e4…8366backed Yes1c139,199$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb12…8c09backed Yes1c139,199$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ce6…b6d1backed Yes1c139,199$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0b9…1d5abacked Yes1c137,713$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4283…a29bbacked Yes1c137,713$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd59…3722backed Yes1c136,991$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes0c122,510$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.2946426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes1c121,921$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.371978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9a…34babacked Yes1c115,142$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d32…0f34backed Yes1c110,678$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ed…9b49backed Yes1c108,406$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf82b…5b77backed Yes1c108,122$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x251d…a0acbacked Yes1c108,122$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8bf…50eabacked Yes1c108,122$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3842…94d3backed Yes1c108,107$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ef…9bf3backed Yes1c108,090$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf53…8790backed Yes1c108,075$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc115…4eadbacked Yes1c108,075$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc892…a8a7backed Yes1c108,075$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7ea…bff0backed Yes1c108,060$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e4…6368backed Yes1c108,060$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb2…a297backed Yes1c108,060$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0281…555cbacked Yes1c108,060$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x693c…ca37backed Yes1c108,026$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc97c…15b5backed Yes1c108,026$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322d…ed6abacked Yes1c108,026$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae7…cbc0backed Yes1c108,026$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…a651backed Yes1c108,026$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe9…ae7fbacked Yes1c108,026$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3615…eff9backed Yes1c108,026$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f48…e392backed Yes1c108,026$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c0…4c64backed Yes1c107,990$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x052b…f14dbacked Yes1c107,990$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb437…aaedbacked Yes1c107,975$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6098…bf2dbacked Yes1c107,975$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e1b…50c2backed Yes1c107,917$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b9…32fdbacked Yes1c107,917$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf4…27f1backed Yes1c107,917$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…db1fbacked Yes1c107,917$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ef…7243backed Yes1c107,917$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9d…9fd5backed Yes1c107,917$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ff…6242backed Yes1c107,917$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718b…b18ebacked Yes1c107,317$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe5…482abacked Yes1c107,192$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a48…a6a5backed Yes1c107,113$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f28…ac77backed Yes1c106,783$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec1…9b2ebacked Yes1c106,783$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…8e42backed Yes1c106,783$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa3…99a2backed Yes1c106,783$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97f…f6e8backed Yes1c106,783$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d9…8606backed Yes1c106,783$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x928d…7440backed Yes1c106,783$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9063…3357backed Yes1c105,610$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa8…46bcbacked Yes1c105,610$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc167…c2abbacked Yes1c105,610$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2550…f5d5backed Yes1c105,535$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2e…11e5backed Yes1c105,535$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…a5b9backed Yes1c105,535$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd62d…8d6abacked Yes1c105,535$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30b0…b2dcbacked Yes1c105,510$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc084…2f2fbacked Yes1c105,510$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc96…1e85backed Yes1c105,510$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb9e…e2d9backed Yes1c105,510$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6674…7983backed Yes1c105,510$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e17…04bfbacked Yes1c105,402$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb322…b503backed Yes1c105,402$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8fd…0b33backed Yes1c104,745$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b61…cd0bbacked Yes1c104,745$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742b…bf1dbacked Yes1c104,745$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0eb…ed08backed Yes1c104,645$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0392…fbc9backed Yes1c104,645$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c3…fa2cbacked Yes1c104,645$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ee…3a9bbacked Yes1c104,645$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf2…b358backed Yes1c104,645$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a6e…df8cbacked Yes1c104,645$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0996…26a8backed Yes1c104,645$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6bf…9d1cbacked Yes1c104,645$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd9…e851backed Yes1c104,645$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.