TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,014,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,014,745 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa22f…c6f9backed Yes0c14,563,439$14,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,563.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24e1…73dbbacked Yes0c8,968,445$8,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,968.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f7c…da94backed Yes0c8,858,892$8,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,858.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ffe…094dbacked Yes0c8,835,544$8,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,835.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c7f…f11bbacked Yes0c4,739,731$4,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,803.8560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0692…f7d3backed Yes0c4,660,875$4,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,660.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb842…9ee1backed Yes0c3,438,420$3,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,438.42944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b8c…e53bbacked Yes0c2,289,971$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c2,157,827$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.83258%2 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-85.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a35…50e1backed Yes0c1,994,117$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3b…96efbacked Yes0c1,698,135$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b0…398abacked Yes0c1,686,031$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec14…1d50backed Yes0c1,073,082$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57fc…da2cbacked Yes0c1,073,067$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bcd…d3d3backed Yes0c1,073,067$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x543d…b115backed Yes0c1,073,061$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fdf…d26fbacked Yes0c1,072,651$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dca…5b4abacked Yes0c1,072,551$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…0eb5backed Yes0c1,072,551$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b6…7533backed Yes0c1,072,451$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5d…32e0backed Yes0c890,493$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe1…573cbacked Yes0c835,093$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd715…59bbbacked Yes0c818,937$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffa…a0fbbacked Yes0c675,464$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3d6…fa6fbacked Yes0c669,608$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x569f…6e63backed Yes0c664,065$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3152…3691backed Yes0c658,468$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85cc…8558backed Yes0c653,413$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7441…5faebacked Yes0c646,353$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b5…1f62backed Yes0c621,658$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae78…a43ebacked Yes0c615,102$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c532,580$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.5820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd611…7ef6backed Yes0c515,022$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adb…eb41backed Yes0c515,022$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a7c…5cd2backed Yes0c505,122$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x398a…4129backed Yes0c505,122$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38db…3e6dbacked Yes0c505,122$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes0c370,362$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.27214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe523…8e31backed Yes7c341,907$22,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,567.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes0c311,999$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.5446426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c199,998$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.991978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c195,772$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.3439435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes0c189,000$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1896544.6%29 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b01…5c12backed Yes2c188,296$4,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,705.18425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfabe…3e22backed Yes0c179,533$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c154,045$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.048827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa26…c232backed Yes0c150,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbea4…93f2backed Yes0c115,955$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc773…1ac9backed Yes0c109,733$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2012…128fbacked Yes1c107,607$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.043432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfcf…6dc5backed Yes0c107,201$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-68.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3006…6f28backed Yes0c92,682$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.65616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-75.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2336…9e65backed Yes0c90,539$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-45.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c89,881$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.88590%0 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe103…59fdbacked Yes1c86,249$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-38.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6de5…3d0fbacked Yes0c84,926$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7e…7e80backed Yes0c78,063$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x921d…efb8backed Yes1c57,228$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.111540%6 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e5f…95e2backed Yes0c56,000$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes0c51,533$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7667…e90dbacked Yes0c50,506$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-59.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec80…2cd7backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50140%0 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d07…d953backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa249…2f1cbacked Yes0c45,982$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71e…daccbacked Yes0c45,845$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x919a…bc17backed Yes0c45,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-74.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d93…820ebacked Yes0c43,456$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x722f…1963backed Yes0c43,221$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c7b…8539backed Yes0c42,162$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa98d…dff6backed Yes0c41,098$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.11711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-77.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Yes0c40,165$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3316030.6%49 W · 111 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae5…c881backed Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed98…44d0backed Yes0c38,762$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x607e…2c57backed Yes0c35,767$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29af…2473backed Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc0b…e980backed Yes0c33,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae14…1dbcbacked Yes0c32,399$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa890…8514backed Yes0c32,330$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9162…0998backed Yes0c32,119$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c31,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31994%4 W · 95 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes1c30,831$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.53417.3%3 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6565…2c02backed Yes0c30,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes1c27,322$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.924035%14 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Yes1c26,260$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0814245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7964…d074backed Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x898d…a68ebacked Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…1d0cbacked Yes0c23,421$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c5c…14aebacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x732a…289fbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046348.4%224 W · 239 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed No30c20,000$6,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,9601947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff4e…5502backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b3…27a7backed Yes0c18,243$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac5…8322backed Yes0c17,613$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbf…6662backed Yes0c17,541$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205b…6b72backed Yes0c15,755$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes1c15,494$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.246820.6%14 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.