NBA · resolved market

Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7338d9dea0de820ed621abdff3de2d4b07a573bc0c1a6f7128941f4d0c5606e3

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $15,353,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $10,529,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,353,717 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x43e9…88e5backed Yes	0c	1,731,838$8,398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,398.43	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes	1c	1,183,265$10,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,150.88	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	1c	624,384$3,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,428.5	394	35.3%139 W · 255 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	0c	498,103$1,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,132.15	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	1c	302,336$1,973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,972.72	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7b0…5d96backed Yes	0c	299,648$1,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,342.74	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes	0c	299,320$1,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,421.13	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes	0c	287,615$1,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,062.85	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes	1c	183,018$1,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,202.47	335	0%0 W · 335 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes	1c	181,055$1,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,617.2	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	0c	159,130$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.46	13	0%0 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes	1c	140,345$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.91	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes	0c	114,816$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.65	313	47%147 W · 166 L	-14.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes	0c	114,000$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+85.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40c5…5cbabacked Yes	1c	111,715$757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756.68	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	7cpaid	-55%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes	1c	109,827$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.14	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	1c	109,719$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.98	88	23.9%21 W · 67 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	1c	105,384$1,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,428.92	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	0c	100,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes	1c	99,989$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.94	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…5610backed Yes	1c	98,000$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-47%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x24c1…54b0backed Yes	1c	93,663$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$732.45	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf2…23e3backed Yes	1c	91,331$1,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,074.19	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+136.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x469c…309bbacked Yes	1c	86,091$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648.83	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes	1c	73,667$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.5	41	7.3%3 W · 38 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…b05ebacked Yes	0c	68,374$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.12	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	19cpaid	+131.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes	2c	64,623$1,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,526.78	122	29.5%36 W · 86 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Yes	1c	62,335$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	323	47.1%152 W · 171 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…69b0backed Yes	1c	62,318$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.89	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.8wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	+61.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed Yes	2c	59,222$899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6cf…39e6backed Yes	1c	50,356$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.94	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+97.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Yes	1c	50,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	548	53.8%295 W · 253 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82ba…0a52backed Yes	1c	50,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa98d…dff6backed Yes	1c	48,413$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.34	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-77.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	1c	48,221$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.99	464	26.1%121 W · 343 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes	0c	44,941$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	428	27.3%117 W · 311 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d2…7333backed Yes	0c	41,148$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.3	8	0%0 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa324…afc9backed Yes	1c	40,943$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.31	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Yes	0c	40,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes	2c	39,497$691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691.45	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Yes	0c	39,000$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.4	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	1c	38,659$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.35	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe556…4659backed Yes	3c	36,696$1,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.5	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed Yes	1c	36,597$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	80	35%28 W · 52 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes	2c	36,501$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628.18	68	20.6%14 W · 54 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0140…9510backed Yes	1c	36,487$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes	1c	35,958$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.26	214	50%107 W · 107 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Yes	1c	33,836$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xceac…c462backed Yes	1c	31,200$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.25	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-38%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc743…66c0backed Yes	1c	29,667$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.64	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+22%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0439…3f80backed Yes	1c	26,400$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.5	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-7.4wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Yes	2c	25,316$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	349	42.7%149 W · 200 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92e1…2ec3backed Yes	2c	24,990$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.15	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Yes	2c	23,539$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.32	181	42%76 W · 105 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf27d…e152backed Yes	1c	23,290$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes	1c	21,816$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.98	42	2.4%1 W · 41 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xac9c…c08cbacked Yes	0c	21,415$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	21,200$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	1c	21,000$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	539	51.6%278 W · 261 L	+20.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0585…1de9backed Yes	2c	20,719$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.7	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5eae…a704backed Yes	1c	20,419$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+109.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes	2c	20,370$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.24	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	+19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes	1c	20,358$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.23	77	23.4%18 W · 59 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	1c	20,268$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.18	569	45.3%258 W · 311 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes	0c	20,209$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.17	156	48.1%75 W · 81 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0067…3d12backed Yes	1c	20,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	20,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	1cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Yes	3c	20,000$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.86	157	24.2%38 W · 119 L	+7.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+52.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85e0…3a93backed Yes	1c	19,829$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.33	92	14.1%13 W · 79 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd79c…9f33backed Yes	1c	18,200$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.6	123	13%16 W · 107 L	-8.2wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	1c	17,815$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.89	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	17,193$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.91	84	4.8%4 W · 80 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	1cpaid	+489.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	1c	16,993$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.89	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Yes	1c	16,866$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.06	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8317…18e3backed Yes	1c	16,693$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Yes	0c	16,667$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	188	42.6%80 W · 108 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb27c…1723backed Yes	1c	16,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc574…b9dabacked Yes	0c	16,000$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+59.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x523a…8e28backed Yes	1c	15,142$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.16	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	11cpaid	+19%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	3c	15,077$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.83	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	9cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92ad…2940backed Yes	0c	15,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7268…c903backed Yes	0c	15,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c22…0960backed Yes	1c	14,777$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.29	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x362b…04e2backed Yes	1c	13,536$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+225.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1870…21b4backed Yes	1c	13,529$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.7	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	1c	13,292$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.27	608	34.4%209 W · 399 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…3699backed Yes	1c	13,273$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.87	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes	1c	12,777$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.55	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	2c	12,613$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.04	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f92…7fa4backed Yes	1c	12,457$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92c7…4ba0backed Yes	1c	12,276$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.83	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes	0c	12,053$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.66	447	47%210 W · 237 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	1c	11,857$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.42	227	50.2%114 W · 113 L	+24.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6747…a64fbacked Yes	1c	11,700$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed Yes	0c	11,650$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes	2c	11,314$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.27	226	56.6%128 W · 98 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes	1c	11,167$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.67	262	33.6%88 W · 174 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc12a…dc73backed Yes	1c	10,666$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.66	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07c…bbb0backed Yes	1c	10,581$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Yes	1c	10,500$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.5	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?this page
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event