TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac9c…c08c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Prizmic (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.08
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$114.75
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+172.2%+$248.44
Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Moutet (+1.5)backed Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$396
Barcelona Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.81
Barcelona Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.13
BMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alex Michelsenbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$312.19
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$475.59
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.12
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.64
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$61.75
Bucharest Open: Mariano Navone vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$57.35
Bucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.57
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Julia Polastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.7
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$833Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$262.92
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.84
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.35
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.48
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$129.27
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)backed Tatiana Suarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$130.13
UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Kelvin Gastelum · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$64.01
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Virna Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$179.12
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+170.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$70.32
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Roar Gaming (BO1) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.