UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22bd233fefc977fcf115ff8c4ba56cec62870d5a3f592f355bea84d40f4d21d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Talita Alencarof Julia Polastri, Talita Alencar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Julia Polastri | 69c | 15,995$10,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,975.04 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Talita Alencar | 62c | 14,421$8,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,545.87 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Talita Alencar | 56c | 14,203$7,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,212.09 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Talita Alencar | 31c | 11,646$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,035.98 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Julia Polastri | 3c | 9,631$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.25 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Julia Polastri | 68c | 8,662$5,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,912.26 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Talita Alencar | 31c | 6,658$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,594.17 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Talita Alencar | 32c | 6,416$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,358.71 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Julia Polastri | 25c | 4,774$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.78 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Julia Polastri | 38c | 4,767$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.42 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Julia Polastri | 47c | 3,895$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.28 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Julia Polastri | 68c | 3,824$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.52 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Talita Alencar | 30c | 3,819$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.45 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Julia Polastri | 72c | 2,957$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.03 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Julia Polastri | 69c | 2,925$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.98 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Julia Polastri | 68c | 2,672$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.17 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Talita Alencar | 30c | 2,379$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.01 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Julia Polastri | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Julia Polastri | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Julia Polastri | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Julia Polastri | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Julia Polastri | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 5cpaid | +238.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Talita Alencar | 53c | 2,241$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.01 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Julia Polastri | 40c | 2,188$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.71 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Julia Polastri | 68c | 2,143$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.92 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Julia Polastri | 68c | 2,141$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.08 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Julia Polastri | 2c | 2,100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Talita Alencar | 31c | 2,064$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.41 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Julia Polastri | 44c | 2,042$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.78 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Julia Polastri | 23c | 2,032$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.19 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Julia Polastri | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Talita Alencar | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.99 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Julia Polastri | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.95 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Julia Polastri | 68c | 1,998$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.72 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Talita Alencar | 32c | 1,970$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.73 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +23.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Talita Alencar | 50c | 1,934$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Talita Alencar | 32c | 1,678$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.74 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Talita Alencar | 32c | 1,484$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.96 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Talita Alencar | 75c | 1,477$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.57 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Julia Polastri | 68c | 1,468$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.99 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Talita Alencar | 46c | 1,447$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.4 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b61…599cbacked Julia Polastri | 56c | 1,399$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.73 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Julia Polastri | 63c | 1,310$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.38 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Julia Polastri | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Julia Polastri | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Julia Polastri | 69c | 1,044$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.66 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Julia Polastri | 69c | 1,030$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.47 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Julia Polastri | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +327.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Julia Polastri | 69c | 995.62$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.98 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Julia Polastri | 69c | 981.4$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.17 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Julia Polastri | 68c | 980.8$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.94 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Julia Polastri | 53c | 912.08$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.99 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Julia Polastri | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Talita Alencar | 32c | 896.75$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.94 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Talita Alencar | 69c | 862.48$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Julia Polastri | 69c | 856.87$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.24 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Talita Alencar | 31c | 834.91$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Julia Polastri | 26c | 830.62$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.56 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Talita Alencar | 79c | 745.87$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.27 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…c08cbacked Julia Polastri | 69c | 711.16$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…f025backed Talita Alencar | 75c | 656.91$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…e4cabacked Julia Polastri | 68c | 641.78$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Talita Alencar | 32c | 638.58$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.24 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Talita Alencar | 32c | 599.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fb…a074backed Talita Alencar | 32c | 599.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Talita Alencar | 32c | 599.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.66 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Julia Polastri | 40c | 583.98$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.13 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Julia Polastri | 69c | 512.03$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.3 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Talita Alencar | 32c | 500.58$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.4 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Julia Polastri | 11c | 500$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Talita Alencar | 33c | 495.64$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.67 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Talita Alencar | 76c | 492.77$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.81 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Julia Polastri | 69c | 490.7$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.58 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Julia Polastri | 67c | 490.1$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.37 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Talita Alencar | 32c | 482.93$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Julia Polastri | 11c | 480$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked Julia Polastri | 20c | 469.48$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…bbedbacked Talita Alencar | 64c | 456.78$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.04 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0551…3d39backed Julia Polastri | 67c | 456.02$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Talita Alencar | 48c | 446.05$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.75 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Julia Polastri | 68c | 441.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Julia Polastri | 69c | 426.7$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.42 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Julia Polastri | 67c | 421.46$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.99 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Julia Polastri | 63c | 403.21$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.58 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Julia Polastri | 69c | 398.25$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.79 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Julia Polastri | 58c | 390.87$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.48 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…daecbacked Talita Alencar | 37c | 383.75$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.92 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Julia Polastri | 59c | 383$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.75 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Talita Alencar | 31c | 377.65$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.19 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Talita Alencar | 32c | 368.65$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.68 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Talita Alencar | 63c | 359.38$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Julia Polastri | 69c | 355.58$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.35 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked Julia Polastri | 20c | 351.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Talita Alencar | 74c | 329.77$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Talita Alencar | 32c | 329.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Talita Alencar | 67c | 323.03$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Talita Alencar | 42c | 313.22$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.05 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Talita Alencar | 32c | 306.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Talita Alencar | 32c | 306.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.72 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Talita Alencar | 32c | 293.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.75 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.