TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0551…3d39

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst AI at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.2
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.93
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$14.09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$142
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$170
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$849Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$500.34
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74.02
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$365.35
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+203%+$134
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.2
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$156
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$79.06
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$126
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$220
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruudbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Ostrava: Dalibor Svrcina vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.64
Mauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djerebacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.56
Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Rome: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jacopo Vasamibacked Jacopo Vasami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$494.39
Madrid Open, Qualification: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$409.42
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-69.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$80
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$69.23
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Southampton wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$600
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$590
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Julia Polastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.