Movies · resolved market
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c6000328963796aaec9a57a2a43cc8e16b9a90b297806b81e27d74d3096d672
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $389,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $389,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x335a…430abacked Yes | 1c | 22,839$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8b…1fb1backed Yes | 0c | 17,485$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7545…02dfbacked Yes | 0c | 16,856$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed Yes | 0c | 15,794$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Yes | 0c | 14,803$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 70c | 13,696$9,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,111.11 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b5…326dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,202$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…a036backed Yes | 1c | 11,159$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 36c | 10,987$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006.55 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…2a91backed Yes | 1c | 10,814$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c5…0064backed Yes | 1c | 9,870$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…9ea8backed Yes | 1c | 8,420$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,833$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…7588backed Yes | 0c | 5,323$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…841fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,053$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed No | 67c | 4,671$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.49 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 30c | 4,506$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.59 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…08f7backed Yes | 2c | 4,481$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8008…190ebacked Yes | 19c | 4,318$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 1c | 4,235$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked No | 72c | 3,913$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.14 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 1c | 3,800$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…69ecbacked Yes | 28c | 3,333$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…ffa9backed Yes | 2c | 3,174$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf7…3b1bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,901$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…1b6cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,770$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed Yes | 1c | 2,533$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…1ab2backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…9b10backed Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 33c | 2,422$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.62 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee8…3b5ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 2,193$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…3c33backed Yes | 3c | 2,083$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,850$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,544$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 12c | 1,503$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…03e9backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,500$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Yes | 3c | 1,479$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,468$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.72 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b4…1eccbacked Yes | 1c | 1,425$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Yes | 1c | 1,333$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 33c | 1,147$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 1,127$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…2baabacked Yes | 3c | 1,123$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 1,096$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Yes | 40c | 924.1$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.42 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…3322backed Yes | 2c | 870$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 9c | 788.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 64 | 4.7%3 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 71c | 770.34$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.46 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Yes | 18c | 672.71$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 26c | 600$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…bdaebacked No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c89…0177backed Yes | 2c | 469.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 8c | 425.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 3c | 417.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 415.01$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.18 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 31c | 406.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 24c | 387.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 72c | 387.26$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…ba97backed Yes | 5c | 386.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…e4d5backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 38c | 351.51$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.14 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…178bbacked Yes | 27c | 348.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…f0f0backed Yes | 31c | 331.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 36c | 327.69$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.86 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3634…2fefbacked Yes | 13c | 318.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 53c | 309.65$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.22 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes | 7c | 290.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 29c | 286.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked No | 64c | 267.89$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 33c | 245.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba89…0fefbacked Yes | 12c | 240$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 235$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 7c | 222.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 108 | 14.8%16 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…c111backed Yes | 24c | 221$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x046a…bb9dbacked Yes | 24c | 217.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 217.24$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 69c | 214.02$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 39c | 207.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…d227backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 67c | 199.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 42c | 196.73$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 28c | 179.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 62c | 164.07$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…7b84backed Yes | 23c | 152.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed No | 73c | 145.91$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a67…6ddebacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed No | 66c | 135.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +175.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes | 28c | 130$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…8137backed Yes | 14c | 109.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…0234backed Yes | 28c | 107.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 57c | 106$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 55c | 104.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed No | 63c | 102$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 61c | 100.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?this page
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?Yes won
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?No won
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?No won
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.