Movies · resolved market
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5b00fb91dd458cf79761b80e68eff24003f89ae59cb630f5ab90d809e4058b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 5c | 6,804$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked No | 10c | 5,722$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.55 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 67c | 5,267$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.61 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked No | 5c | 5,181$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 29c | 5,089$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.93 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 69c | 2,483$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.4 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 19c | 1,715$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.7 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b5…326dbacked No | 2c | 1,586$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…9b10backed Yes | 17c | 1,536$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.31 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 62c | 1,527$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.14 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 76c | 1,241$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 43c | 1,216$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.38 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 23c | 1,134$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.87 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 53c | 1,096$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,045$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.1 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed No | 6c | 1,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 74c | 976.55$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.28 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Yes | 13c | 952.46$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 7c | 925.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed No | 11c | 910.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.23 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…fef5backed Yes | 13c | 823.95$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +151%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 76c | 771.84$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…b5b5backed Yes | 78c | 753.74$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.44 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 34c | 719.03$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.38 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 54c | 695.43$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.47 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 21c | 627$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.17 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 80c | 619.94$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.69 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe664…bfb3backed Yes | 69c | 595.52$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.46 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…178bbacked Yes | 44c | 571.29$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.58 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 10c | 563.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 509.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.13 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 17c | 436.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.54 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 53c | 418.92$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.32 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 4c | 393$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 25c | 385.61$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.71 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…2b1fbacked Yes | 66c | 369.87$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 76c | 367.09$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.83 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7368…fd66backed No | 5c | 359.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…1838backed Yes | 9c | 344.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,047.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa159…ac8ebacked No | 6c | 303.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked No | 70c | 299.95$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.26 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…a803backed Yes | 68c | 292.1$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 12c | 287.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.29 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…9d34backed Yes | 20c | 278.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.21 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 252.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…be55backed No | 7c | 217.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…f673backed Yes | 10c | 205.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +242.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 60c | 204.42$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.86 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 200.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.79 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…5219backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 198.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.2 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 16c | 195.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 21c | 190.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.38 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 44c | 188.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 27c | 176.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 17c | 170.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.36 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 14c | 168.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.63 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked No | 41c | 166.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…7b84backed Yes | 37c | 150.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…9a00backed Yes | 67c | 150.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…f0f0backed Yes | 65c | 146.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 73c | 140.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x962c…67a4backed Yes | 29c | 139.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +248.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…1aabbacked Yes | 15c | 136.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed Yes | 12c | 129.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…c654backed No | 53c | 123.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 58c | 119$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f5…8423backed Yes | 75c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked Yes | 15c | 100.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…f47bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…0acfbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3140…6229backed Yes | 15c | 99.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 57c | 96.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 56c | 95.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 38c | 86.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 69c | 86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…b9e0backed Yes | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…3704backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Yes | 25c | 76.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +175.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 76c | 74.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39ca…7605backed Yes | 75c | 65.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…8c35backed No | 34c | 58.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…eb72backed No | 35c | 57.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 56c | 54.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 29c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…ec61backed Yes | 71c | 46.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…90d3backed Yes | 54c | 45.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 59c | 45.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651f…5857backed No | 32c | 44.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…c0fabacked Yes | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3634…2fefbacked No | 67c | 37.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed Yes | 43c | 35.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…e56cbacked No | 49c | 35.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9a14backed No | 62c | 32.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c5…0064backed Yes | 64c | 31.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…2aa9backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?this page
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?No won
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?No won
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?No won
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.