TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3d79…1aab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Serie A at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$20.06
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.42
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.81
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$93.06
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.04
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will Denver Nuggets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.59
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.79
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.43
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.13
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$11.68
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.67
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$18.56
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-64.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+173.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyukbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.89
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobollibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.12
Savannah: Kilian Feldbausch vs Clement Taburbacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$19.31
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Ben Johnston (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Wes Schultz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.