TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,232

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee19…555ebacked No45c5,250$2,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,890.885658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No62c4,276$2,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6344,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes43c4,043$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.442751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No46c3,383$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.424261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No48c2,597$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.995438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No47c2,390$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.4910246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes51c2,177$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.382748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.9910743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No58c2,000$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.8815038%57 W · 93 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c1,963$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.762,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes54c1,851$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.0785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No53c1,846$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.0676842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c1,827$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.926,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4303…9f4cbacked Yes56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yes54c1,777$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.342733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a23…8ef9backed Yes57c1,709$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.2825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes57c1,678$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.5410144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes42c1,666$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.296543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes50c1,663$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.4118453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes55c1,605$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.513847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No45c1,471$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.4932037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes14c1,365$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.674450%22 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No67c1,329$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.2420059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No70c1,279$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.121,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No57c1,239$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.6640640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No59c1,206$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.3748950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes43c1,170$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.154040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No51c1,056$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.831,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No48c1,009$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.771450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50014553.1%77 W · 68 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes53c999.37$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.6759445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes56c869.29$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.820054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes57c854.56$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.17847.4%37 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No43c837.98$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.6542048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes5c785.94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.141,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No47c783.15$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.31,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No42c746.31$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.4984549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No49c745$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8996443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No49c697.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.251,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes50c697.45$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.732638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes56c695.43$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.441827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes45c642.7$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.224540%18 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No43c619.49$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.0746651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef3…6c6abacked Yes41c588.17$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.151346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes57c564.01$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.4911146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes42c563.7$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.756737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9c7…4e5bbacked No44c559.14$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec2…26d7backed Yes57c533.98$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.373231.3%10 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+72.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes56c486.8$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.616051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9bd…65a9backed Yes56c457.51$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.21637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed No65c451.85$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.153354.5%18 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4325…39b8backed Yes56c436.22$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No46c435$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.912549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No45c429.76$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.377048.6%34 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15225648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010533.3%35 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes39c366.7$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7212532.8%41 W · 84 L-10.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No59c357.41$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3445142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes50c355.49$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4953344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No65c349.59$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0872142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes55c338.1$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9614055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes58c337.01$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4712233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Yes54c306.13$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.312445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d6a…26f7backed Yes56c302.12$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.431758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16818156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No44c299.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16817959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes44c285.53$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.634129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb29a…bbdebacked No77c261.39$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.23650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e1c…53f2backed No46c261.25$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.087247.2%34 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Yes51c256.7$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.914630.4%14 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes42c252.79$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.174637%17 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Yes56c252.09$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.175648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes11c243.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1642324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.524050%20 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes42c227.74$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.657047.1%33 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No44c223.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1969851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No45c220.94$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9680953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x650a…0f82backed Yes53c220.03$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.621338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6412139.7%48 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes43c217.87$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.684946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No46c217$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.186043.3%26 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No44c209.29$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.216858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes56c208.63$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.835646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010252%53 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes57c194.84$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.064151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes56c194.72$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0420840.9%85 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes41c188.21$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.177223.6%17 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Yes55c185.75$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.177136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes26c184.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0211527%31 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No61c180$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.251847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes55c179.9$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9519356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed No49c170.85$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.632615.4%4 W · 22 L-6.7wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-76.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No54c170.19$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4774644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No46c169.98$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.796866.2%45 W · 23 L+9.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes57c169.2$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.453141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No58c168.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.637259.7%43 W · 29 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes60c162.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.625057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes55c160$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8818851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed Yes42c152.2$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.92128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.