Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8705573a80d74db10dc2feac88493eab9c81e19dd2a4735f620db8cab42c5b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 5,589$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.12 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 3,663$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.52 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 65c | 1,586$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.85 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Yes | 29c | 1,333$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.08 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 71c | 1,207$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.68 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,087$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.58 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,027$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.51 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 27c | 960.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.47 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 23c | 790.69$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.83 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Yes | 27c | 750.79$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 24c | 631$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.56 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 538.82$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.89 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Yes | 48c | 538.53$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.04 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes | 78c | 507.97$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.32 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 71c | 451.01$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.22 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 53c | 394.72$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.04 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 22c | 392.27$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.97 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 76c | 360.4$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.91 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 71c | 348.44$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.68 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 50c | 285.98$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.99 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 75c | 256.41$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 76c | 246.4$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.26 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 50c | 237.71$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.86 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 75c | 233$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.75 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 68c | 222.4$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.14 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 218.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked No | 8c | 206.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 24c | 198.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.11 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 75c | 197$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 190.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 12c | 169.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 27c | 123.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 27c | 122$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 412 | 43.4%179 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 75c | 120$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…5c17backed Yes | 25c | 114.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 19c | 114.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…5fe1backed No | 62c | 108.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 105.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 95.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Yes | 25c | 95.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 76c | 73.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked No | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 27c | 67.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 67.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 67c | 62.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…170cbacked No | 54c | 60.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 51c | 53.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 54c | 52.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…a67dbacked Yes | 75c | 52.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 26c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 71c | 51.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…8adabacked Yes | 30c | 45.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…38d5backed Yes | 25c | 44.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 41.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 46c | 39.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 74c | 39.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 41c | 38.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 31.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…0c8bbacked Yes | 76c | 29.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd4…8bf9backed Yes | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 76c | 24.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8801…f667backed Yes | 74c | 22.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 74c | 22.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…3df3backed No | 71c | 22.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Yes | 76c | 21.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 75c | 21.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 75cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 77c | 14.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.