TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2d25…5529

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
149
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.2
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$355.79
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.7
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$823Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$369.92
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,962.35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+177%+$354.06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$360.82
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$995Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+38%+$378.06
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$285.87
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$96.37
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$511
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,515Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$732.4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$404.37
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+190.2%+$721
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$124.94
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will UD Almería vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.23
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.24
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$620.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.6
Exact Score: Elche CF 3 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$49.4
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.07
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.55
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.91
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.28
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$156.1
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+203%+$116.92
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$282.06
Exact Score: Girona FC 1 - 2 Villarreal CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.83
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.17
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.04
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.36
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$73.2
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.75
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.15
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.63
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.35
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$34.56
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.91
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.5
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.14
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$71.92
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.02
Will Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$548.08
Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$121.79
Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)backed Leicester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$37.36
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+208.6%+$472.28
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+120.2%+$232.54
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.01
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$291
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$92
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$195.3
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$105.8
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+160.1%+$521.62
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.28
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.9
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$115.04
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$284.24
Will Qatar vs. El Salvador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+151%+$354.9
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$132
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.93
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.14
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$137
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$127.04
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$488.67
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$347.62
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$258.54
Exact Score: Sporting CP 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.45
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 1 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.37
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.94
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$223.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$166.89
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$447.37
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.7
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$178.18
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$318
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$240
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.51
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.76
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.35
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.53
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$253.51
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$149.1
Will Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+64%+$124.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$276.19
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.48
FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$88.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$74.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$291
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.