Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00e6bc719eb601e103f3c6bfce7089d567dca36232e8961449987348c3e8d507
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $341,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $366,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 69c | 91,845$63,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,162.9 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 68c | 31,615$21,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,610 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 32c | 26,151$8,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,868.69 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 22,408$14,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,314.15 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 32c | 19,752$6,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,431.23 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 31c | 18,537$5,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,790.36 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 17,224$7,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,090.11 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 65c | 15,042$9,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,790.53 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 33c | 9,842$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,593.84 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 9,575$5,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,082.95 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…9f6dbacked Yes | 41c | 8,157$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 31c | 8,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed No | 38c | 7,686$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,765.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 68c | 6,322$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.74 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 32c | 6,212$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 31c | 6,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 5,908$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.98 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 32c | 5,808$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.42 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 67c | 4,713$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.85 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 31c | 3,500$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 67c | 3,181$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.99 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 15c | 3,089$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.61 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 11c | 2,786$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.57 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed No | 31c | 2,687$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.01 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 32c | 2,579$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.54 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 40c | 2,578$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.16 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…32fcbacked Yes | 67c | 2,199$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.24 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…c4d0backed Yes | 56c | 2,177$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 39c | 2,140$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.23 | 95 | 76.8%73 W · 22 L | +20.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.99 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…68d2backed No | 32c | 1,937$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 69c | 1,781$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 32c | 1,776$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.66 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…dc37backed Yes | 68c | 1,657$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…a65fbacked Yes | 64c | 1,529$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 13c | 1,471$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.27 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Yes | 68c | 1,442$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 67c | 1,343$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.86 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 63c | 1,330$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.3 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 62c | 1,301$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.61 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 3c | 1,300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 32c | 1,199$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 69c | 1,144$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.94 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 68c | 1,090$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.97 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 69c | 1,087$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…0a0cbacked No | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…df87backed No | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +11.2wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 36c | 980.42$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.95 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 68c | 969.52$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.27 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 31c | 900$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 63c | 892.42$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 31c | 800$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Yes | 12c | 789.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Yes | 63c | 777.51$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Yes | 36c | 774.62$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 68c | 745.45$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 32c | 716.58$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.27 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Yes | 69c | 711.16$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Yes | 69c | 694.09$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 61c | 651.64$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.68 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…d31cbacked Yes | 12c | 639.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Yes | 63c | 610.63$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 49c | 609.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +10.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Yes | 33c | 581.7$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 40c | 576.86$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.82 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 12c | 568.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Yes | 63c | 555.85$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 68c | 555.13$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.49 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 32c | 551.44$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.98 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 67c | 534.6$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.9 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 67c | 534.6$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.9 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Yes | 68c | 532.23$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 68c | 519.25$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.09 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 68c | 519.25$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.09 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked Yes | 32c | 513.84$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 33c | 506$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.02 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 37c | 499.6$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.75 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 16c | 497.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…2dedbacked Yes | 38c | 493.74$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Yes | 63c | 488.9$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 68c | 484.65$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.64 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.