TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea48…62dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
206
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Asian League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT9947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Shelton (+1.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.08
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$731.85
Tomas Machac vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.54
Wuning 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Charles Broombacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.15
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Leandro Riedibacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.22
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.74
Wuning 2: San-Hui Shin vs Maximus Jonesbacked Maximus Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.64
Busan: August Holmgren vs Alexis Galarneaubacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+178.8%+$127.21
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Zizou Bergsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$176.47
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.31
Wuning 2: Omar Jasika vs Maximus Jonesbacked Omar Jasika · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.68
Busan: Yunchaokete Bu vs Marat Sharipovbacked Marat Sharipov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.11
Santa Cruz: Santiago De La Fuente vs Nicolas Villalonbacked Santiago De La Fuente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.69
Busan: Ilya Ivashka vs Dane Sweenybacked Ilya Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$17.44
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$291
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$194.9
Wuning: Harry Wendelken vs Pavel Kotovbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.14
Matteo Arnaldi vs. Quentin Halys: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$61.5
BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$147.09
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.24
Wuning: Harry Wendelken vs Li Tubacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$191.24
Mexico City: Tibo Colson vs Alex Hernandezbacked Alex Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.15
Mexico City: Stefano Napolitano vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.54
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$96.95
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$267.71
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT4942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$550.81
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,467.74
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$266.04
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$152.79
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$244.74
Jets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,251Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$973.37
Sabres vs. Blackhawksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,751Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,028.48
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$238
Canadiens vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$289
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$328.02
Flames vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$425.93
Devils vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Golden Knights vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$443.9
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$812.5
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.42
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$311.91
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.7
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$114.85
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.14
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$358.36
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.6
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$85.09
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.81
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$227.18
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.5
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$534.95
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.81
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.27
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$244.44
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$626.65
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$282.27
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.24
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$667.53
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.84
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-41.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.84
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.26
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$497.23
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+129.3%+$563.03
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.49
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.54
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$89.84
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.15
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.24
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.1
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$552.44
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.24
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.93
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$271.13
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.86
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.03
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Como 1907 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,927.65
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+146%+$540.78
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$166
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$180.83
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.1
Harvard Crimson vs. Wisconsin Badgers (W)backed Harvard Crimson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$192.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Peshawar Zalmibacked Karachi Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,563.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.