TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Austria win on 2026-03-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,987

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xebc7…4003backed No58c7,232$4,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,194.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed No39c6,240$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.027762.3%48 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes57c4,300$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x955f…2a6fbacked Yes64c4,210$2,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2999…277dbacked Yes60c3,340$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Yes64c3,125$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1253455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ea…5311backed No41c2,775$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes61c2,039$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.992,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes45c1,966$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.143243.8%14 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes66c1,633$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.663,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes65c1,598$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5542,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No38c1,423$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.711,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes62c1,119$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.697924.1%19 W · 60 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No36c1,005$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.9922634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38028435.9%102 W · 182 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed No58c986.24$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.02520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-67.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No38c900.03$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.7522041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc3…e9a2backed Yes60c838.05$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes51c820.09$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.093,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028545.3%129 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes63c733.81$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.917338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea48…62dcbacked Yes44c685.23$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes46c649.81$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.98355.4%46 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No38c642.59$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5646536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No39c634.05$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6636850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32513461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes45c609.47$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.0874034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed No58c562.9$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.4841429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No38c531.8$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9832855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No49c489.01$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.3424653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes66c469.94$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.061,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes64c467$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.1220560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes44c439.61$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.182045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes49c420.9$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.935942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x968a…fd4abacked Yes59c419.34$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1568…602cbacked No37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked No58c399.97$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.983231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c398.15$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.314,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No34c397.17$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8216341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes68c388.93$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1786455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfedc…61d1backed No37c354.97$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.069855.1%54 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No12c328.51$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.216833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked No58c321$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.189047.8%43 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes63c319.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.622448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes65c304.62$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.621376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+31.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes72c302$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.567034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a24…98a7backed Yes64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-60.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes61c299.94$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9820050%100 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No37c299.77$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.776048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes61c265$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3510558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed No58c254.2$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes79c252.19$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2150850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed No18c237$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.642334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-38.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No36c236.72$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2211060%66 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Yes64c234.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7512254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No37c219.38$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.537144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No36c203$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3516755.1%92 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8015662.8%98 W · 58 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes65c189.37$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2820186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x68d7…9e04backed Yes59c188.6$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No38c186.27$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.591,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked No58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8760…2e1abacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No38c165.32$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.261,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes58c165.15$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.368454.8%46 W · 38 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Yes63c165$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2210234.3%35 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No36c161.74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2210335%36 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes55c160$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.850450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba6c…5cb6backed Yes64c156.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.49757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes51c155.52$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5229645.6%135 W · 161 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes79c155.05$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.63959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7894…8503backed No38c153$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes61c151.69$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.161,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf96d…3a1ebacked Yes60c149.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.865558.2%32 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0141…29febacked No37c149$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.13580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Yes48c147.77$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.085962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b8…7367backed No57c146.63$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.581323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39be…7653backed No38c145$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd711…749cbacked No58c144.64$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31d9…cb2fbacked No58c142.2$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ccc…cfb1backed No37c141$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.17520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf82…cacabacked No37c141$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid+61.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf61d…3319backed No38c138$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No36c136.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2911658.6%68 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No37c131.95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.462,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x94bc…5b27backed No37c130.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3b…ecf0backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253540%14 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Yes60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes44c123.82$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.343852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5153…1432backed Yes60c116.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7985…4801backed No37c111$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No36c106$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.471,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4115448.7%75 W · 79 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked No22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2240%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75b2…3ec7backed Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5750%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x89f9…eb5fbacked Yes61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394151.2%21 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3512128.1%34 W · 87 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.