Fifa International · resolved market
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf118955cc55b158eac624c83d07d7a70eef8208556fdf7b85987f6214e336589
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 20c | 4,706$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.8 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 18c | 4,517$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.46 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 3,066$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.22 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…bae5backed Yes | 17c | 2,359$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.05 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes | 23c | 2,303$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.97 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 16c | 2,244$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.98 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 17c | 1,276$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.21 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 20c | 923.28$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.14 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 17c | 836.74$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.25 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 80c | 758.45$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.16 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c04…03febacked Yes | 21c | 589.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f84…e4b4backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 25c | 568.48$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed Yes | 20c | 501.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41b…321dbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a3…490fbacked No | 78c | 488.74$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18d…43dbbacked Yes | 22c | 488.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 15c | 449.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 446.93$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 79c | 301.51$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…641bbacked Yes | 4c | 292.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…ffd4backed Yes | 17c | 279.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 16c | 256.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked No | 80c | 251.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…3338backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 7c | 210.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ee…4ad6backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 19c | 174$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 80c | 139.69$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 40 | 80%32 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb468…0cbabacked Yes | 16c | 124.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaf…d87dbacked Yes | 17c | 119$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d7…1d59backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b8…c965backed Yes | 18c | 113.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 17c | 109$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 107.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…d0bbbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 17c | 82.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 17c | 79.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed Yes | 17c | 67.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Yes | 19c | 58.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 79c | 35.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…8531backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Austria vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?No won
- Will Austria win on 2026-03-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.