Fifa International · resolved market
Will Austria vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x538b0ae7f9bd3be1c30532e85feb3f270e1299062ef34ffee85d304fe6f8aea5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9087…9532backed Yes | 0c | 7,737$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 1,647$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.61 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 22c | 942.98$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.46 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 874.58$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.59 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 836.03$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.8 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 824.93$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.48 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 79c | 794.3$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.04 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 592.23$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.56 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Yes | 16c | 550$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 22c | 449.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 382.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…3b62backed No | 80c | 352.8$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…1546backed Yes | 22c | 340.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 19c | 269.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39ee…4ad6backed Yes | 19c | 263.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 78c | 259$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…c9c3backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 127.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 78c | 126.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 121.35$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 79c | 101$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 22c | 98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 22c | 92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb1…c4ccbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…d0bbbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd93…31d1backed Yes | 22c | 90.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 78c | 65.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x987a…b89ebacked No | 78c | 64.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 123 | 27.6%34 W · 89 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…34f9backed Yes | 21c | 49.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4b…ffacbacked No | 80c | 49.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 78c | 35.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked No | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 76c | 23.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austria vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?this page
- Will Austria win on 2026-03-31?Yes won
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.