TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed6c…d0bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
301
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT13322.6%30 W · 103 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.74
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.21
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$113.72
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$91.52
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.28
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+678.1%+$271.24
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$141.53
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.59
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+151.8%+$109.68
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+102%+$86.93
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8128.4%23 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+358.7%+$358.72
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.35
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.32
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+260.4%+$39.05
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+288.3%+$43.25
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.53
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.84
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.88
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+762.5%+$114.37
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT6043.3%26 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.14
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kauê Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Oban Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.26
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$110.58
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Seokhyeon Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Brandon Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Nikita Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+386.4%+$135.24
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.63
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Edmen Shahbazyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.51
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tom Nolan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$71.15
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bryce Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alonzo Menifield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$85
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tallison Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cameron Smotherman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Yi Sak Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.53
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Dooho Choi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+148%+$318.15
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.82
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$56.83
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.65
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$121.68
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-73%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$202.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipeibacked Chinese Taipei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Black Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked DK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.