UFC · resolved market
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1955b5d0b8c1d03976f4de846c7e36751435dbaf32c1e7448a530d5211aef8a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robert Whittakerof Robert Whittaker, Nikita Krylov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $978,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,019,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $978,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 660 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Nikita Krylov | 47c | 221,045$103,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,469.09 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Robert Whittaker | 55c | 106,336$58,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,125.94 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Robert Whittaker | 54c | 100,002$54,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,001.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Nikita Krylov | 43c | 57,289$24,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,532.68 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Robert Whittaker | 53c | 55,555$29,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,110.8 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Nikita Krylov | 47c | 41,770$19,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,677.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…de3ebacked Robert Whittaker | 55c | 37,150$20,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,685.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Nikita Krylov | 47c | 31,053$14,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,594.44 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Robert Whittaker | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…401fbacked Robert Whittaker | 53c | 27,627$14,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,868.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Robert Whittaker | 56c | 27,565$15,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,128.79 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Robert Whittaker | 55c | 23,691$12,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,704.48 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Nikita Krylov | 47c | 23,000$10,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,809.96 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Robert Whittaker | 53c | 22,732$12,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,684.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Nikita Krylov | 44c | 22,210$9,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,729.08 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Nikita Krylov | 45c | 18,614$8,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,376.29 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Nikita Krylov | 30c | 18,083$5,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,505.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Robert Whittaker | 56c | 17,857$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,857.14 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Nikita Krylov | 45c | 16,900$7,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,605 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Nikita Krylov | 47c | 16,567$7,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,760.84 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Robert Whittaker | 52c | 16,407$8,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,819 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Robert Whittaker | 55c | 16,364$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,363.64 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Robert Whittaker | 52c | 15,357$7,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,371.44 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Nikita Krylov | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Nikita Krylov | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.98 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Robert Whittaker | 52c | 14,537$7,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,977.74 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Robert Whittaker | 65c | 14,333$9,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,998.99 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nikita Krylov | 47c | 13,169$6,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,135.42 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Nikita Krylov | 44c | 12,500$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.96 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nikita Krylov | 48c | 12,131$5,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,794.31 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Nikita Krylov | 40c | 10,056$4,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,066.3 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Robert Whittaker | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Nikita Krylov | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Robert Whittaker | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Nikita Krylov | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.99 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Robert Whittaker | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.98 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nikita Krylov | 39c | 8,720$3,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403.58 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Robert Whittaker | 53c | 8,315$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,895.18 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Nikita Krylov | 46c | 7,322$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.1 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Nikita Krylov | 47c | 6,888$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.35 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Nikita Krylov | 45c | 6,685$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.21 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Robert Whittaker | 54c | 6,228$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.77 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Robert Whittaker | 66c | 6,003$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.24 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…a4a9backed Robert Whittaker | 54c | 5,809$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Nikita Krylov | 45c | 5,466$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.76 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nikita Krylov | 46c | 5,447$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.42 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…f73abacked Robert Whittaker | 53c | 5,379$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Nikita Krylov | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Nikita Krylov | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.97 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Robert Whittaker | 70c | 4,969$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Robert Whittaker | 61c | 4,461$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Robert Whittaker | 67c | 4,387$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.06 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Nikita Krylov | 46c | 3,882$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.99 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Nikita Krylov | 47c | 3,800$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nikita Krylov | 31c | 3,705$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.46 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Nikita Krylov | 39c | 3,634$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.29 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Robert Whittaker | 55c | 3,463$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Nikita Krylov | 42c | 3,450$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.25 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Nikita Krylov | 45c | 3,326$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Nikita Krylov | 46c | 3,250$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Nikita Krylov | 29c | 3,223$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Robert Whittaker | 55c | 3,103$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.23 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…5ac7backed Robert Whittaker | 53c | 3,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Nikita Krylov | 46c | 2,956$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.61 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Nikita Krylov | 19c | 2,536$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Robert Whittaker | 53c | 2,347$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.39 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Robert Whittaker | 55c | 2,329$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.07 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nikita Krylov | 20c | 2,320$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Robert Whittaker | 65c | 2,246$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.44 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nikita Krylov | 44c | 2,226$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Nikita Krylov | 36c | 2,220$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.13 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Robert Whittaker | 74c | 2,116$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.21 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c1…84c5backed Robert Whittaker | 54c | 2,088$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Robert Whittaker | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Nikita Krylov | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…4631backed Nikita Krylov | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Nikita Krylov | 20c | 1,992$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7762…309ebacked Nikita Krylov | 26c | 1,774$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…c994backed Robert Whittaker | 55c | 1,746$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…f972backed Robert Whittaker | 54c | 1,731$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Nikita Krylov | 47c | 1,720$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.41 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Nikita Krylov | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Nikita Krylov | 29c | 1,624$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.61 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Nikita Krylov | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Nikita Krylov | 46c | 1,596$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.15 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Nikita Krylov | 41c | 1,547$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Robert Whittaker | 49c | 1,545$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.09 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Nikita Krylov | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Robert Whittaker | 54c | 1,500$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nikita Krylov | 46c | 1,483$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.36 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked Robert Whittaker | 61c | 1,452$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nikita Krylov | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.98 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Nikita Krylov | 46c | 1,381$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.23 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…a43ebacked Robert Whittaker | 54c | 1,381$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.79 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…3f10backed Robert Whittaker | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Robert Whittaker | 68c | 1,323$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Robert Whittaker | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Nikita Krylov | 31c | 1,300$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.66 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Nikita Krylov | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Robert Whittaker | 62c | 1,274$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.27 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Nikita Krylov win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Robert Whittaker win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.