TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87b6…4aba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
549
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT45038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 450 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$2,090.77
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260.99
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$893.75
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,046Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$856.16
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,428
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$960
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Spread: France (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Canada to score first vs. Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.93
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.99
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.99
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$295
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$434
Showing 25 of 450 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST4452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10,614.19
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,987Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$5,623.2
Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
Titans vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$815.14
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,529Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,528.9
Dolphins vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$229.49
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$9,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$9,300
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,996
Browns vs. Bengals: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,840Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$4,159.99
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$5,187.73
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$217.87
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$7,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$4,800
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,342Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+96.1%+$8,975.41
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$3,122.45
1H Spread: Bills (-0.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$3,250
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+103.3%+$3,098.93
Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000.31
Spread: Steelers (-4.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$3,120
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,004Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+122.2%+$6,116.17
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12,200
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10,000.44
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10,000
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25,000.73
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jan Blachowicz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,000.68
UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Borislav Nikolic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,030.3
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Bogdan Grad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$481.09
UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Stephanie Luciano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,763Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$872.52
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,066.56
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Nikita Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$920
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Adrian Yanez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,095Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,155
UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Wang Cong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,839.97
UFC 329: Farid Basharat vs. John Garza (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)backed John Garza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
UFC 329: Cody Durden vs. Alessandro Costa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Alessandro Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,874Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$923.19
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,222.05
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$171.16
UFC Fight Night: Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Andrey Pulyaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Kaan Ofli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$544
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$399
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$285
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.1
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$203.5
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$260.99
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,013Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$862.86
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,133.22
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,730Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$2,420.5
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$4,800
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+194.1%+$4,852.94
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,725Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+58.7%+$2,775
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15,407Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+65.3%+$10,055.88
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16,713Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16,712.79
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19,531Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+147.4%+$28,785.35
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22,508.38
Suns vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneylinebacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11,800.17
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16,875Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16,875
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,627.78
Spread: Texas (-6.5)backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,761Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$4,786.32
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+56.3%+$3,600
Spread: Ole Miss (-17.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,450Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$4,050
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$8,182.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,396Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,807.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.