TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Bills (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eaglesof Bills, Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,624 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x777d…5143backed Eagles55c66,098$36,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,743.912441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Bills45c65,842$29,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,629.9986547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Bills46c30,000$13,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,799.9816051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Eagles54c25,499$13,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,729.423767.6%25 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x801e…ad90backed Eagles53c16,613$8,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,808.053050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Eagles54c14,369$7,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,610.015648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Eagles53c14,000$7,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,579.999442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bills47c13,129$6,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,144.4753348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Bills46c12,000$5,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5205536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bills47c9,733$4,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,555.3447348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Bills46c9,000$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,139.9926547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Bills47c6,383$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bills45c6,341$2,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,864.581,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Eagles54c5,219$2,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.874362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Eagles53c5,092$2,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,39617648.9%86 W · 90 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ac…c62dbacked Bills47c4,724$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,220.281637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Eagles54c4,451$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.6322450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Bills32c4,146$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.223522.9%8 W · 27 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Eagles53c4,000$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.9934349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0b8…87c1backed Bills47c3,502$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.01757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Eagles67c2,310$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.668446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Eagles64c1,568$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.514763.9%94 W · 53 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Bills47c1,489$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.8314641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Eagles54c1,481$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.4816648.2%80 W · 86 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bills1c1,234$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8564747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Eagles54c1,185$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.314154.6%77 W · 64 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Eagles55c1,084$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.214934.7%17 W · 32 L-8.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Eagles54c1,081$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.3421254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bills36c869.05$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.3375852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Bills47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Eagles60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.333056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Bills46c803.96$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.865048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Eagles64c787$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.3220757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Eagles67c622.11$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5150242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Bills46c610.5$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.832552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Bills36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18015446.8%72 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Eagles54c434.78$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20019459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bills44c368.51$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1456852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Eagles53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc5…3984backed Eagles54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1383444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Eagles61c298.44$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6435648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Bills38c263.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397d…794fbacked Eagles54c262.96$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.967147.9%34 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Eagles55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.520650.5%104 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Bills54c231.48$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked Bills47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005349.1%26 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabdf…3cbcbacked Bills47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0395…c9edbacked Bills47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944139%16 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb27b…bd9cbacked Bills52c192.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a52…9ad6backed Eagles54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.195558.2%32 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Bills46c173.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9912850%64 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3891…baa4backed Eagles54c172.22$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.223043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Eagles54c172.22$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.223158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Bills46c163$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.983141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Bills46c149.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6955345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Eagles55c144$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3424547.8%117 W · 128 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa653…444ebacked Bills14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-63.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Bills45c142$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.91747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff9…ce7abacked Eagles71c141.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5611650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…454abacked Bills46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x036a…4c9abacked Bills41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bills43c108.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2936341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Bills28c107.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0929439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Eagles53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478451.2%43 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eagles59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x575b…14f0backed Eagles54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464946.9%23 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Bills41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4124352.7%128 W · 115 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Eagles54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4622745.4%103 W · 124 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Bills49c98.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4912447.6%59 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Eagles64c94.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2211054.5%60 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bills44c85.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6354451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Bills32c85.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720354.7%111 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f55…bae8backed Bills47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016048.1%77 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Bills41c81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2119439.2%76 W · 118 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ef2…6e74backed Eagles54c80.56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.062045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Eagles49c79$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3926857.1%153 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bills36c65.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6853253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Eagles57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.813357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Eagles57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.811463.2%72 W · 42 L+14.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Eagles57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.810864.8%70 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Bills47c57.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0413339.8%53 W · 80 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Bills60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309855.1%54 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed Eagles60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.251770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Eagles75c47.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.763860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Eagles55c47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Eagles54c44.52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.486246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Bills47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207841%32 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00f6…c5d2backed Eagles55c42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+56.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Eagles54c39.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.412459.7%74 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Eagles54c39.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.269652.1%50 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Bills54c37.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204454.5%24 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf9d…3ea9backed Eagles54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0426660.9%162 W · 104 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Eagles57c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2116349.7%81 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x608b…6e88backed Eagles55c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.851258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Bills47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa84…292abacked Eagles78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Eagles60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1212756.7%72 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a59…e94cbacked Eagles54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.786550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eagles51c27.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5414952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Eagles59c27.36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2234652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.