NFL · resolved market
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa16c4430c988fde1101ef08810cde7421f8167c9d2e521dece382f9a737aae9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eaglesof Bills, Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Eagles | 55c | 66,098$36,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,743.91 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bills | 45c | 65,842$29,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,629.99 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bills | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,799.98 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Eagles | 54c | 25,499$13,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,729.42 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Eagles | 53c | 16,613$8,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,808.05 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Eagles | 54c | 14,369$7,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,610.01 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Eagles | 53c | 14,000$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,579.99 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bills | 47c | 13,129$6,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,144.47 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Bills | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bills | 47c | 9,733$4,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,555.34 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Bills | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.99 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Bills | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bills | 45c | 6,341$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.58 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Eagles | 54c | 5,219$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.87 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Eagles | 53c | 5,092$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…c62dbacked Bills | 47c | 4,724$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Eagles | 54c | 4,451$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.63 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Bills | 32c | 4,146$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.22 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Eagles | 53c | 4,000$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.99 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…87c1backed Bills | 47c | 3,502$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Eagles | 67c | 2,310$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.6 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Eagles | 64c | 1,568$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.5 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Bills | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.83 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Eagles | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bills | 1c | 1,234$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Eagles | 54c | 1,185$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.3 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Eagles | 55c | 1,084$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.21 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Eagles | 54c | 1,081$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.34 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bills | 36c | 869.05$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.33 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Bills | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Eagles | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bills | 46c | 803.96$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.8 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Eagles | 64c | 787$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.32 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eagles | 67c | 622.11$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.51 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Bills | 46c | 610.5$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.83 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Bills | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Eagles | 54c | 434.78$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bills | 44c | 368.51$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.14 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Eagles | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3984backed Eagles | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Eagles | 61c | 298.44$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Bills | 38c | 263.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…794fbacked Eagles | 54c | 262.96$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Eagles | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Bills | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Bills | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…3cbcbacked Bills | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked Bills | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…bd9cbacked Bills | 52c | 192.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Eagles | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Bills | 46c | 173.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3891…baa4backed Eagles | 54c | 172.22$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Eagles | 54c | 172.22$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Bills | 46c | 163$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Bills | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Eagles | 55c | 144$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa653…444ebacked Bills | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Bills | 45c | 142$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Eagles | 71c | 141.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…454abacked Bills | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x036a…4c9abacked Bills | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bills | 43c | 108.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Bills | 28c | 107.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Eagles | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eagles | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…14f0backed Eagles | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Bills | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Eagles | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Bills | 49c | 98.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Eagles | 64c | 94.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bills | 44c | 85.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Bills | 32c | 85.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Bills | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Bills | 41c | 81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed Eagles | 54c | 80.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Eagles | 49c | 79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bills | 36c | 65.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Eagles | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Eagles | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +14.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Eagles | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Bills | 47c | 57.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Bills | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Eagles | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Eagles | 75c | 47.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Eagles | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Eagles | 54c | 44.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Bills | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Eagles | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Eagles | 54c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Eagles | 54c | 39.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Bills | 54c | 37.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Eagles | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Eagles | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Eagles | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Bills | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa84…292abacked Eagles | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Eagles | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a59…e94cbacked Eagles | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eagles | 51c | 27.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Eagles | 59c | 27.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bills (-0.5)Eagles won
- Eagles vs. BillsEagles won
- Eagles vs. Bills: 1H MoneylineEagles won
- Eagles vs. Bills: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 34.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 37.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 43.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 44.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 45.5Under won
- Spread: Bills (-1.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Bills (-2.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Eagles (-6.5)Bills won
- Spread: Eagles (-7.5)Bills won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.