NFL · resolved market
Eagles vs. Bills
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1892e09a862f12c9b3488e14b3f4f87f3eb7fc92d2d8a6c4191337fb45c2d884
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eaglesof Eagles, Bills
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,623,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,429,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,623,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Eagles | 39c | 446,775$173,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273,032.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Eagles | 45c | 333,494$149,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183,917.76 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Bills | 61c | 263,027$160,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160,446.53 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Eagles | 39c | 216,667$84,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132,166.63 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Bills | 61c | 187,085$114,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,421.03 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…bf49backed Bills | 51c | 185,461$94,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,969.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bills | 61c | 130,263$79,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,460.48 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Bills | 26c | 126,821$32,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,683.72 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Bills | 60c | 125,000$75,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,000 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Bills | 61c | 106,800$65,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,148 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Eagles | 72c | 62,565$44,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,634.97 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Eagles | 72c | 61,882$44,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,084.15 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bills | 62c | 60,000$37,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,200 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bills | 26c | 48,532$12,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,698.99 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Eagles | 39c | 48,358$18,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,698.3 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eagles | 44c | 47,969$21,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,817.58 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Eagles | 68c | 46,388$31,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,743.54 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bills | 61c | 40,000$24,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,399.92 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Bills | 61c | 37,860$23,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,094.6 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…733abacked Bills | 47c | 33,515$15,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,773.58 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Eagles | 46c | 31,161$14,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,826.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…249ebacked Bills | 43c | 30,554$13,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,199.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Eagles | 72c | 30,011$21,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,275.36 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Eagles | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,299.95 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bills | 22c | 28,751$6,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,283.74 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bills | 57c | 28,650$16,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,341.71 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…52f4backed Eagles | 61c | 28,638$17,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,168.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Eagles | 76c | 27,516$20,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,586.65 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bills | 60c | 27,177$16,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,309.8 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bills | 29c | 26,868$7,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,779.24 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Eagles | 39c | 26,154$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,953.85 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Eagles | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,250 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…1e0bbacked Eagles | 75c | 24,080$18,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,943.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eagles | 64c | 23,741$15,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,475.44 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Bills | 60c | 22,250$13,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,350 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Eagles | 38c | 20,896$7,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,004.12 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Bills | 3c | 20,600$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Eagles | 61c | 20,170$12,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,801.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Eagles | 61c | 20,047$12,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,793.49 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Bills | 48c | 20,000$9,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,635.35 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Bills | 26c | 19,364$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Eagles | 71c | 18,570$13,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,454.88 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Eagles | 60c | 18,409$11,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,296.71 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Eagles | 75c | 18,156$13,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,557.61 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Eagles | 77c | 17,766$13,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152.78 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eagles | 62c | 17,004$10,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,434.11 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Bills | 61c | 16,994$10,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,366.3 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Eagles | 52c | 16,000$8,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,715.96 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Bills | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Bills | 25c | 13,765$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bills | 55c | 13,670$7,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,518.68 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Eagles | 70c | 13,450$9,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,068.99 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Eagles | 55c | 13,291$7,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,960.15 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Eagles | 70c | 13,044$9,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,965.9 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Bills | 26c | 12,854$3,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,339.17 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bills | 58c | 12,564$7,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,287.28 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Eagles | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bills | 58c | 12,052$7,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,014.93 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed Eagles | 75c | 12,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ec…a3fabacked Bills | 45c | 11,991$5,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,446.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bills | 34c | 11,533$3,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,872.07 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Eagles | 62c | 11,479$7,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,415.66 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Bills | 23c | 10,641$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.61 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Eagles | 42c | 10,600$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,172.95 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Eagles | 70c | 10,334$7,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,094.82 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Bills | 60c | 10,152$6,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,129.28 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Eagles | 72c | 10,091$7,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.49 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Bills | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Bills | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Bills | 61c | 9,999$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.39 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b1…6695backed Bills | 62c | 9,512$5,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,897.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bills | 56c | 9,034$5,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,047.21 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Bills | 38c | 9,024$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.39 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Bills | 22c | 9,009$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Bills | 57c | 8,820$5,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,020.17 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked Eagles | 66c | 8,800$5,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.81 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…be15backed Bills | 23c | 8,777$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bills | 58c | 8,523$4,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,965.77 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Bills | 27c | 8,493$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Bills | 26c | 8,272$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.83 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Eagles | 75c | 7,795$5,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.75 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eagles | 41c | 7,752$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,569.5 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked Eagles | 39c | 7,692$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.31 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Eagles | 64c | 7,578$4,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.79 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Bills | 55c | 7,389$4,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,064.04 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Bills | 39c | 7,383$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.36 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Eagles | 41c | 7,369$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,369.34 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Eagles | 40c | 7,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Eagles | 43c | 6,870$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,886.48 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Eagles | 41c | 6,786$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.71 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Eagles | 47c | 6,583$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,505.63 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…7807backed Bills | 25c | 6,568$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Bills | 26c | 6,538$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Eagles | 44c | 6,451$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,595.51 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bills | 61c | 6,450$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934.57 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Eagles | 74c | 6,371$4,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.71 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Eagles | 65c | 6,203$4,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.35 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4599…d638backed Bills | 33c | 6,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Eagles | 69c | 5,828$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af8…0014backed Bills | 37c | 5,656$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eagles vs. Billsthis page
- 1H Spread: Bills (-0.5)Eagles won
- Eagles vs. Bills: 1H MoneylineEagles won
- Eagles vs. Bills: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 34.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 37.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 43.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 44.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 45.5Under won
- Spread: Bills (-1.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Bills (-2.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Eagles (-6.5)Bills won
- Spread: Eagles (-7.5)Bills won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.