TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f5a…9ecd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5038%19 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.6%+$465.51
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,021Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+206.3%+$4,169.35
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$486.44
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$656.62
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+68.1%+$272.55
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$850
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.9%+$247.42
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+57.2%+$417.45
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$625
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$136.98
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+261.1%+$1,305.53
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$58.14
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$207.22
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$742.86
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$400.66
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$439.57
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,661Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$3,660.92
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+93.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+150.3%+$214.99
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+455.6%+$455.56
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$312.24
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+48.5%+$164.9
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-63%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+112.8%+$281.91
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,855Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,855.12
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New Mexico State Aggies (-6.5)backed New Mexico State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Duke Blue Devils vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$3,189.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$260
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.