NFL · resolved market
Chargers vs. Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa71983d3fd60496758d0da08c790b8720bf3eb4d5612b6f2df5d7f2ebb7a32f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Chargers, Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,728,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,675,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,728,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccb2…8586backed Chargers | 11c | 944,172$100,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,743.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Chargers | 11c | 201,801$22,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,054.16 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Chargers | 10c | 200,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Chargers | 11c | 195,019$21,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,952.06 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Chargers | 11c | 158,593$17,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,399.13 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a8…e61fbacked Chargers | 13c | 84,064$10,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,868.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…4b7cbacked Chargers | 10c | 25,425$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chargers | 7c | 25,405$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.62 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Chargers | 11c | 25,068$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.09 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…f68dbacked Chargers | 13c | 23,099$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.93 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Chargers | 11c | 22,000$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Chargers | 11c | 18,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chargers | 4c | 15,515$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.08 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Chargers | 12c | 12,083$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Chargers | 10c | 12,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87c2…0c83backed Chargers | 5c | 9,447$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chargers | 8c | 8,827$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.4 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Chargers | 8c | 7,783$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.89 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Chargers | 15c | 7,411$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.02 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Chargers | 9c | 6,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Chargers | 10c | 5,555$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Chargers | 15c | 5,515$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed Chargers | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e90…8525backed Chargers | 11c | 4,827$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…6dd0backed Chargers | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Chargers | 11c | 4,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f4…c918backed Chargers | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chargers | 4c | 4,156$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.92 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Chargers | 11c | 4,102$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.2 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Chargers | 0c | 3,966$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Chargers | 11c | 3,636$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Chargers | 4c | 3,331$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Chargers | 11c | 3,052$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…cd94backed Chargers | 15c | 3,008$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.04 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Chargers | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Chargers | 12c | 2,997$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.69 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Chargers | 11c | 2,959$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Chargers | 11c | 2,656$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Chargers | 12c | 2,453$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.33 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Chargers | 15c | 2,444$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.74 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Chargers | 1c | 2,361$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Chargers | 6c | 2,333$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Chargers | 16c | 2,310$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.17 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…59b4backed Chargers | 11c | 2,205$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.17 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Chargers | 11c | 2,182$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Chargers | 12c | 2,159$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Chargers | 5c | 2,157$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Chargers | 5c | 2,143$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Chargers | 9c | 2,074$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.11 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Chargers | 11c | 2,006$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.66 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Chargers | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Chargers | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Chargers | 17c | 1,988$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.22 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Chargers | 15c | 1,973$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…d475backed Chargers | 4c | 1,948$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Chargers | 12c | 1,860$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Chargers | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chargers | 4c | 1,811$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Chargers | 4c | 1,708$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b89…693cbacked Chargers | 5c | 1,670$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d3…9117backed Chargers | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…7aa5backed Chargers | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…fb08backed Chargers | 12c | 1,663$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.83 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7204…9d31backed Chargers | 7c | 1,551$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.52 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Chargers | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Chargers | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Chargers | 7c | 1,418$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Chargers | 9c | 1,390$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe211…9189backed Chargers | 14c | 1,306$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Chargers | 20c | 1,272$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Chargers | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…614cbacked Chargers | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Chargers | 12c | 1,200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Chargers | 9c | 1,106$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Chargers | 12c | 1,100$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Chargers | 10c | 1,087$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…7664backed Chargers | 15c | 1,067$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chargers | 12c | 1,046$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1216…7288backed Chargers | 11c | 1,009$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Chargers | 12c | 1,004$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Chargers | 12c | 1,004$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Chargers | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…9f00backed Chargers | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Chargers | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…2e53backed Chargers | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0e…e812backed Chargers | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a4…41c2backed Chargers | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Chargers | 4c | 958.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chargers | 7c | 939.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Chargers | 7c | 931.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…98e3backed Chargers | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Chargers | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…467dbacked Chargers | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d2…c37ebacked Chargers | 2c | 900$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…a2f3backed Chargers | 11c | 900$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc526…bf92backed Chargers | 12c | 898.74$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +45%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Chargers | 7c | 884.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…e65fbacked Chargers | 5c | 862.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Broncos | 77c | 858.85$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.02 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Chargers | 7c | 857.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chargers vs. Broncosthis page
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-8.5)Chargers won
- Chargers vs. Broncos: 1H MoneylineBroncos won
- Chargers vs. Broncos: O/U 37.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Broncos: O/U 38.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Broncos: O/U 39.5Under won
- Spread: Broncos (-12.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-13.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-14.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-5.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-6.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-7.5)Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.