TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc526…bf92

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT4429.5%13 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Brooklyn Netsbacked New York Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Heat vs. Thunderbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$104.8
Wizards vs. Sunsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+203%+$304.55
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$29.07
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$139.66
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+279.6%+$1,900.95
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$306.83
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+540.5%+$2,672.88
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+809.1%+$283.18
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+316.7%+$370.63
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$55.12
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+284.6%+$56.92
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+244.8%+$48.97
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Thunderbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+45%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$380.59
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$540
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$109.49
Titans vs. Jaguarsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+316.7%+$158.33
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$70.71
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+233.3%+$35
Cardinals vs. Bengalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+203%+$77.15
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+316.7%+$95
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+264.6%+$449.87
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+244.8%+$61.21
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+224.4%+$211.29
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+233.3%+$35
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST140%0 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texansbacked Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$88.98
North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. Omaha Mavericksbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$880
Maine Black Bears vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Maine Black Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Hofstra Pride vs. Towson Tigersbacked Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Michigan Wolverines vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$830
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Akron Zipsbacked Central Michigan Chippewas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Colgate Raiders vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked Colgate Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Fisher College Falcons vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawksbacked Fisher College Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Idaho Vandals vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-64.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Iva Jovic vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
ASB Classic: Iva Jovic vs Sara Bejlekbacked Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+548.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+548.3%+$82.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+455.6%+$68.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+284.6%+$33.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+180.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Gen.G Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+180.4%+$28.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 60-69 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qairat FK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Antalyaspor win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs B8 (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EC Bahia win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.