College Football · resolved market
Troy vs. James Madison
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ee0244cd80af0ba47adcdec380abc18c62e5606570bd5a43043bebebfe505c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- James Madisonof Troy, James Madison
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $951,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $713,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $951,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Troy | 6c | 225,696$13,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,035.03 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Troy | 6c | 200,258$11,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,496.01 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Troy | 8c | 61,991$4,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,963.77 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Troy | 10c | 45,524$4,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,462.81 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Troy | 5c | 25,555$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Troy | 8c | 16,450$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.48 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Troy | 4c | 14,828$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.1 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9c7fbacked Troy | 13c | 13,205$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Troy | 7c | 12,861$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Troy | 7c | 11,086$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.44 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e5…f175backed Troy | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Troy | 0c | 5,450$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Troy | 4c | 4,850$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.31 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Troy | 7c | 4,173$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.58 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…583fbacked Troy | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Troy | 4c | 3,056$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Troy | 5c | 3,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Troy | 6c | 2,812$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.24 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Troy | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Troy | 12c | 2,459$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.48 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Troy | 6c | 2,313$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.46 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Troy | 1c | 2,284$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 2cpaid | +841.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Troy | 8c | 2,223$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Troy | 7c | 2,200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Troy | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Troy | 7c | 1,875$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…2fcebacked Troy | 4c | 1,870$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Troy | 6c | 1,795$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.7 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Troy | 6c | 1,784$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Troy | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed Troy | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Troy | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Troy | 6c | 1,645$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Troy | 8c | 1,532$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.11 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Troy | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Troy | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Troy | 5c | 1,414$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Troy | 9c | 1,408$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.54 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Troy | 5c | 1,312$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f1…5840backed Troy | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Troy | 7c | 1,071$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Troy | 8c | 1,019$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…2d77backed Troy | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…9c51backed Troy | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Troy | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Troy | 7c | 900$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Troy | 6c | 895.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Troy | 7c | 857.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Troy | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…588bbacked Troy | 7c | 793.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Troy | 6c | 743.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071e…0d11backed Troy | 9c | 737.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Troy | 6c | 703.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed Troy | 13c | 625.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Troy | 6c | 599.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…da32backed Troy | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Troy | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22df…5ce1backed Troy | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…31eabacked Troy | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Troy | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Troy | 6c | 499$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Troy | 7c | 484$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Troy | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Troy | 7c | 399.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Troy | 7c | 359$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…780abacked Troy | 12c | 350.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Troy | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc526…bf92backed Troy | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Troy | 6c | 333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Troy | 5c | 324.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Troy | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Troy | 7c | 282.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Troy | 8c | 264.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668a…e8e1backed Troy | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked Troy | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0104…d33abacked Troy | 7c | 211.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…0fe4backed Troy | 9c | 211.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Troy | 7c | 208.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Troy | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…e249backed Troy | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Troy | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Troy | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7698…9c54backed Troy | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…68febacked Troy | 7c | 186.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Troy | 10c | 182.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Troy | 12c | 179.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Troy | 6c | 176.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccd…8ae1backed Troy | 8c | 128.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Troy | 16c | 125.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Troy | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd043…a007backed Troy | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Troy | 14c | 93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52b…783cbacked Troy | 13c | 87.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Troy vs. James Madisonthis page
- O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: James Madison (-22.5)Troy won
- Spread: James Madison (-23.5)Troy won
- Spread: James Madison (-24.5)Troy won
- Troy vs. James Madison: 1H MoneylineJames Madison won
- Troy vs. James Madison: O/U 46.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.