TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x668a…e8e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST2138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40.96
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$52.51
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20.2
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$22.31
Spread: Bills (-6.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Spread: Ravens (-6.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$63.29
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19.62
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$187
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13.09
Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 54.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$26.88
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+150%+$15
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18.56
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+112.1%+$61.67
Buccaneers vs. Rams: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+119.9%+$24.68
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Lions (-10.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+141.8%+$22.34
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Spurs vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Heat vs. Magic: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50.47
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+227.6%+$126.95
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+316.7%+$95
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$88.07
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$141.54
Spread: Georgia (-2.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+100%+$10
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$29.76
Troy vs. James Madisonbacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12.65
Spread: Alabama (-6.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Alabama vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Utah State vs. Fresno Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+116.1%+$40.6
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Louisville vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+123.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+127.4%+$65.12
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+53.9%+$10.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$17.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.