TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Indianaof Ohio State, Indiana
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$288,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$297,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,213 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1496…a429backed Ohio State46c127,136$58,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,661.521055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Indiana53c112,133$59,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,347.3293548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Indiana54c27,532$14,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,781.835446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Ohio State48c20,833$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00019362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Indiana53c20,670$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,670.231450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Indiana55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0002842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Ohio State46c15,000$6,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,85039954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Indiana52c13,610$7,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,532.945851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Indiana53c9,901$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,651.3381847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78c…0c5abacked Ohio State46c9,704$4,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,463.821338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Indiana55c9,160$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,159.523855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ohio State45c8,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60052641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Ohio State47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82038546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Indiana53c5,690$3,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.2138450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Ohio State36c5,263$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.6913432.8%44 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Ohio State48c5,167$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4808145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Ohio State45c5,130$2,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.520450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa832…e6febacked Indiana58c4,342$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff31…44dfbacked Ohio State47c4,254$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b6…922fbacked Ohio State48c4,131$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc97…58a6backed Indiana55c3,850$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Ohio State47c3,328$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56421348.8%104 W · 109 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xae6a…faf4backed Ohio State47c3,216$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick55cpaid-75.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Indiana55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35011541.7%48 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Ohio State47c2,979$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4002055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Indiana53c2,953$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.072,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Indiana53c2,935$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.5416234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Ohio State48c2,600$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24811540%46 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Ohio State46c2,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1508544.7%38 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d52…47c5backed Ohio State46c2,500$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1401118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-56.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ohio State44c2,316$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.9948546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Indiana55c2,301$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.234738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Ohio State47c2,130$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.15060%30 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0585…5fa1backed Ohio State48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Indiana55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9006842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Indiana53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9402352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Ohio State46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.997133.8%24 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee0…5233backed Ohio State48c1,873$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Indiana53c1,700$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79917655.1%97 W · 79 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ohio State47c1,596$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507136.6%26 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Indiana64c1,572$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.744540%18 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Indiana54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69011142.3%47 W · 64 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Indiana53c1,400$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66011149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Ohio State45c1,210$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.57145.1%32 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0673…2e81backed Ohio State48c1,132$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b92…218fbacked Ohio State48c1,080$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d83…d3f2backed Ohio State45c1,055$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.5560%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Indiana53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47015751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaef…56aebacked Ohio State48c951.83$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.88922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-58.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Indiana54c930.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Indiana55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0917946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Indiana53c899.97$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.9913452.2%70 W · 64 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x063d…e00fbacked Ohio State47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5344…c194backed Indiana53c833.43$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.71616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-68.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Ohio State35c833.37$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.84850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Ohio State59c762.71$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ohio State43c730$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.1449253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79e7…9674backed Ohio State45c662$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Ohio State46c550$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.556844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Ohio State48c550$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.969947.5%47 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Ohio State46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505149%25 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Ohio State48c529.17$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549142.9%39 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Ohio State6c502.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.168629.1%25 W · 61 L+15.2wins+0.18per pick11cpaid+361.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Ohio State47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2358142%34 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Ohio State46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66d3…724ebacked Ohio State47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe7…68f3backed Ohio State52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Ohio State46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008752.9%46 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb5f…39c7backed Ohio State47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-45.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Ohio State48c420$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Indiana60c419.95$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1554243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…bc81backed Ohio State48c412.38$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5362…8334backed Indiana54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+63.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c8…f2efbacked Indiana53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.362356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbdd…5905backed Indiana54c350$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1611154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Indiana60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.335565.5%36 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4451…c6afbacked Indiana53c320.75$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.751855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Ohio State48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503930.8%12 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Indiana53c302$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9424436.9%90 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x668a…e8e1backed Ohio State47c298.49$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.541233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Ohio State47c297.87$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcec…5d1cbacked Ohio State50c294$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Indiana52c281.24$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Ohio State47c255.63$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.982218.2%4 W · 18 L-6.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-64.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Ohio State49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.510944%48 W · 61 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Ohio State47c244$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.684143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Indiana55c215.82$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.636753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ba…8497backed Ohio State47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5817…740fbacked Ohio State47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Ohio State47c210$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.77245.8%33 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Ohio State48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Ohio State46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1901…c07fbacked Ohio State48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9650%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Ohio State47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947254.2%39 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a5d…185dbacked Ohio State47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1615…a6afbacked Ohio State47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9efd…30babacked Indiana54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1201…a74dbacked Indiana55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Ohio State47c159.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9d1…ff0cbacked Ohio State46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.