TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fe7…68f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category MLB at 49 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,112.38
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$266.09
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,507Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$2,537.97
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,690Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$909.77
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$58.2
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,352.3
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,705Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,705
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,699.27
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,075
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,850
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,086.21
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,570Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$1,937.8
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$900
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$757Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$757.42
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$299.25
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,058Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$1,480.58
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST2060%12 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$490
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$5,180
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Spread: Bills (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$545
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$56.41
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+40.8%+$255.69
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$56.41
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+61.3%+$76.61
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$83.33
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+58.7%+$132.14
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$76.11
Spread: Vikings (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$116.71
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$207.05
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+27.2%+$80.16
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$284
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$745
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$53.16
Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$77.78
All 5 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$620
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+51.5%+$25.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$718.07
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,454.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.