NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21321f34a0bec4cd7e94cec59eaea72820d6006a6c6d479fe7a6106c112aa864
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Spurs | 64c | 37,212$23,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,396.27 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Thunder | 36c | 15,689$5,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,647.99 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 36c | 14,997$5,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,415.07 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Thunder | 36c | 8,333$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 63c | 2,938$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Thunder | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.89 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 64c | 2,200$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Thunder | 36c | 1,950$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.96 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 73c | 1,613$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.42 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs | 63c | 1,568$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.95 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Spurs | 64c | 1,483$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.88 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed Thunder | 10c | 1,409$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.04 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Thunder | 20c | 1,066$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.36 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Spurs | 64c | 1,013$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.92 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Thunder | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…16eabacked Thunder | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Spurs | 64c | 880$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Spurs | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Thunder | 37c | 798.84$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.57 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe7…68f3backed Spurs | 65c | 766.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.09 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Thunder | 37c | 710.21$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Thunder | 36c | 689.97$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.39 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thunder | 25c | 648$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.46 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 63c | 582.02$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.35 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…780cbacked Thunder | 37c | 542.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Thunder | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1d…87e2backed Thunder | 37c | 536.24$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Thunder | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 346 | 61.6%213 W · 133 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed Spurs | 65c | 509.72$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.05 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +195.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Thunder | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…9cf7backed Thunder | 37c | 478.24$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.95 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Spurs | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Thunder | 35c | 424.37$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Thunder | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…e656backed Thunder | 37c | 399.7$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Spurs | 64c | 394.87$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.15 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Spurs | 63c | 350.27$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…22b8backed Spurs | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Thunder | 37c | 310$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…580fbacked Thunder | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Thunder | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Thunder | 37c | 264.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs | 64c | 200.1$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb4…d892backed Thunder | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Thunder | 37c | 170.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…6b56backed Thunder | 37c | 151.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Thunder | 37c | 149.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Spurs | 63c | 145.07$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Thunder | 36c | 137.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Spurs | 62c | 135.61$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Thunder | 38c | 128.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spurs | 64c | 128.78$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Thunder | 13c | 111.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Thunder | 36c | 110.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…e7e2backed Thunder | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Thunder | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Spurs | 72c | 99.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Spurs | 64c | 89.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Thunder | 18c | 84.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Thunder | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 271 | 62.4%169 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Thunder | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Thunder | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 39.3%53 W · 82 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…199bbacked Thunder | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 64c | 79.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Thunder | 26c | 78.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 160 | 33.1%53 W · 107 L | -17.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Spurs | 65c | 75.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Spurs | 64c | 66.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 64c | 62.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0171…0a60backed Spurs | 64c | 61.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…ff15backed Thunder | 31c | 60.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8699…ab5cbacked Thunder | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…229abacked Thunder | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Thunder | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Spurs | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Spurs | 65c | 47.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Thunder | 37c | 45.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…89edbacked Spurs | 64c | 45.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Spurs | 63c | 42.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f3…be50backed Thunder | 37c | 41.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130a…5c12backed Thunder | 37c | 39.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Spurs | 68c | 33.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 92 | 71.7%66 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 64c | 33.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Thunder | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Thunder | 35c | 32.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +11.0wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Spurs | 64c | 31.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Spurs | 64c | 30.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…9703backed Spurs | 64c | 30.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Spurs | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Spurs | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Spurs | 63c | 19.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…f517backed Spurs | 64c | 18.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Spurs | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Spurs | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Spurs | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.