TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,225

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,056 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbbbc…3122backed Yes1c2,000$20 inLost-$207953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked No61c800.07$488 inWon+$312.0320155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No55c687.98$380 inWon+$307.6739265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2618…20aabacked Yes39c607.69$237 inLost-$23720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Yes46c602.37$276 inLost-$2763228.1%9 W · 23 L-7.3wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Yes26c360$94 inLost-$93.631540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7efd…caedbacked No65c299.99$194 inWon+$106.029975.8%75 W · 24 L+16.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf6bc…42c1backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost-$1003857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes35c250.54$88 inLost-$87.6933049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b06…99c9backed Yes36c242$88 inLost-$88.151163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5445…d7edbacked Yes45c200.32$90 inLost-$90366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddb…cfbcbacked No55c200$110 inWon+$90250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf35e…f846backed No64c115.68$74 inWon+$41.357356.2%41 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed No64c110$70 inWon+$39.615650.6%79 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No63c107.89$68 inWon+$39.921,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66a2…3538backed No61c99.99$61 inWon+$391464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No57c68.96$39 inWon+$29.9292058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac6c…d0d4backed Yes36c61.02$22 inLost-$227153.5%38 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f2…a334backed Yes50c51.51$26 inLost-$25.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea3…466bbacked No65c51$33 inWon+$17.852941.4%12 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf89…0fb1backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost-$203554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked No64c40$26 inWon+$14.413764.2%88 W · 49 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x907e…fd75backed Yes35c36.79$13 inLost-$12.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed No65c30.77$20 inWon+$10.779151.6%47 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No64c30$19 inWon+$10.860267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No47c25.36$12 inWon+$13.4443752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8634…1b5bbacked No60c22.7$14 inWon+$9.05771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x761b…e8f7backed No64c19.99$13 inWon+$7.243360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.