TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb184…b6c6backed Over44c6,667$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9103729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Under58c6,034$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,534.4816555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under57c5,901$3,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Under59c5,858$3,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.045453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over44c5,164$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.5664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over42c5,033$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.94134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over45c4,491$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.12245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Under57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.0410049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over44c2,274$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under58c1,900$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79864651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over42c1,733$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.8532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under56c1,639$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.1566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under56c1,191$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.0655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over36c1,021$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.3679650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35226745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa98f…ab1abacked Over44c784.09$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Under56c778.12$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.2217147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under69c777.07$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.531,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under56c759.98$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.3962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over42c750$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31514731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed Over44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Under55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2704443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2641,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x614b…ca37backed Over43c559.26$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.483043.3%13 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf72…af1abacked Over43c527.74$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2282050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Under58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.246347.6%30 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under56c512.11$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.335269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over30c494$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under58c492.81$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.9814148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under55c460.75$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.111,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Over43c440.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.6317247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over30c399.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8847651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba4a…f951backed Under57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.883855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over43c323.47$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0913759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over13c300$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+217.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.021,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under53c259.72$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c255.63$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.211,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x498c…eeabbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+57.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over5c210.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7531222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under57c192.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9834849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe05…c67cbacked Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed Under57c162.63$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.931060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under56c154.34$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.661,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under75c133.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.442080%16 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c125.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5521147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…a330backed Under68c114.89$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.983844.7%17 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over44c100.02$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.011,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4436749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d2…5517backed Over32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4437037.3%138 W · 232 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3685449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4411852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under56c95.25$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9819959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over42c93.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1815759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4175…87a0backed Over44c77.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.959652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over42c72.6$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over42c71.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.125045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…267abacked Under57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.47948.1%38 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0881…356abacked Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Over34c52.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1827539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Over43c51.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Over43c46.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1111136%40 W · 71 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb980…516abacked Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb32d…ecdcbacked Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1585…c3b7backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204129.3%12 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2854…927cbacked Under58c44.16$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under56c40.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6460049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1833…cc31backed Over43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x565c…f3c0backed Over44c27.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over44c26.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8612055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe906…aa69backed Under57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under64c16.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8414860.1%89 W · 59 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.