NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f078f8225b001c25bdc36dd52f0aa64881523229677f3a9eb44824a35a4943d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 42c | 38,389$16,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,265.63 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 58c | 24,918$14,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,354.17 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 42c | 16,343$6,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,478.26 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 13,737$7,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,865.53 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 58c | 10,130$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 56c | 7,092$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Under | 43c | 3,300$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under | 43c | 3,300$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Under | 43c | 3,200$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Under | 43c | 3,100$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.99 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Over | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Under | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.9 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Over | 57c | 2,631$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 42c | 2,609$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.18 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 61c | 2,525$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.86 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 2,300$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.85 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 43c | 2,222$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.54 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 1,868$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.46 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Under | 42c | 1,744$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Over | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 337 | 49.3%166 W · 171 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 1,656$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.15 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 42c | 1,374$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.86 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 57c | 1,301$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.52 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 58c | 1,294$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 42c | 1,238$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.75 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Over | 39c | 1,148$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 57c | 1,056$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.83 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Over | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 973$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.07 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…dd90backed Under | 52c | 958.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.66 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Under | 43c | 899.99$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.99 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 43c | 822.12$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.61 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5381…f932backed Over | 12c | 815.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 41c | 804.38$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.58 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Under | 38c | 803.58$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.22 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Over | 56c | 720$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 42c | 635.75$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.64 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 44c | 591$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 58c | 581.45$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.21 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 20c | 500.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 43c | 392.82$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.36 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Over | 58c | 347.34$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…dbc7backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…ff59backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 343$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 46c | 298.09$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.9 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Over | 54c | 277.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…936ebacked Over | 58c | 275.86$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 60c | 271$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…8812backed Over | 50c | 266.93$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.74 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd9…be42backed Over | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 41c | 206.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.83 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 43c | 204.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.72 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…d937backed Over | 48c | 202.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 6c | 179.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68b…c39cbacked Over | 57c | 178.16$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…5439backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…7edfbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb19…60e6backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…97e6backed Over | 48c | 168.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Over | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe355…a1f9backed Over | 56c | 163.38$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Over | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…ba67backed Over | 58c | 146.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 124.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…1ab3backed Over | 58c | 122.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 53c | 117.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 44c | 116.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 50c | 111.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 110.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…9a7dbacked Over | 58c | 108.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Over | 49c | 101$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…b015backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 57c | 98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Over | 59c | 97.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 61c | 96.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 93.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Under | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 42c | 89.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f5…2b4fbacked Over | 57c | 86.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e08…8e72backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 51c | 85.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…543dbacked Over | 57c | 85.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8a…03bdbacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…39e5backed Under | 48c | 81.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Over | 55c | 79.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Over | 58c | 75.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 42c | 74.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.