NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x034e1cdabe5691aee0b83bbbc05417b1490eb2373abbd528308171fa9b27675c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $365,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $344,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Over | 66c | 220,522$145,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,897.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 35c | 100,386$35,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,250.61 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 35c | 38,338$13,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,942.75 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 15,999$5,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,536.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 32c | 12,460$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,428.57 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…c4bfbacked Under | 35c | 12,458$4,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,132 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 59c | 12,065$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 32c | 11,516$3,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,830.81 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 6c | 10,171$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.24 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.97 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Over | 56c | 8,724$4,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,912.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.97 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Under | 32c | 7,813$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 7,543$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,252.88 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 32c | 6,496$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,411.65 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…01bcbacked Over | 66c | 4,782$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.27 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 4,559$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.87 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 36c | 4,223$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.03 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 47c | 4,029$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.46 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 66c | 3,047$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 36c | 3,023$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.57 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Under | 42c | 2,500$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 67c | 2,437$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Over | 66c | 2,357$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 66c | 2,264$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 32c | 1,838$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.83 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Under | 33c | 1,642$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.14 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…7f92backed Over | 67c | 1,640$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Under | 36c | 1,578$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.78 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0382…7aafbacked Over | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 30c | 1,500$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 35c | 1,492$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.37 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 45c | 1,466$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.06 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 3c | 1,460$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe355…a1f9backed Over | 64c | 1,457$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 1,443$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.56 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…9064backed Over | 66c | 1,405$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Under | 32c | 1,362$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.31 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…26f8backed Under | 32c | 1,330$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over | 65c | 1,264$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.52 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 33c | 1,234$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.78 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 42c | 1,217$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.75 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 32c | 1,184$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.4 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Under | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 58c | 1,091$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.23 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Over | 66c | 1,077$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 34c | 1,049$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.68 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 17c | 1,021$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.33 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked Over | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.16 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Under | 35c | 976.49$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.72 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 47c | 949$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.67 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 32c | 879.46$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.69 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 32c | 651.13$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.77 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 65c | 645.43$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Under | 50c | 620.37$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over | 65c | 606.44$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Over | 66c | 606.26$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Over | 48c | 603.88$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.78 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 48c | 600$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…4b96backed Over | 66c | 565.1$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Under | 34c | 551.12$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.12 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Over | 55c | 545.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Over | 66c | 521.71$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.25 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 19c | 517.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 34c | 503.45$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.28 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 500$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.03 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…49c0backed Over | 65c | 498.4$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 21c | 427.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…893dbacked Under | 35c | 424.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 23c | 408.35$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.85 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…936ebacked Over | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 51c | 392.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 35c | 383.09$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.4 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Over | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Under | 80c | 375.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 35c | 371.43$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.43 | 338 | 37.3%126 W · 212 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 32c | 360.84$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.37 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Over | 55c | 357$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 33c | 348.28$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.03 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…4cb2backed Over | 66c | 331.39$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.72 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…d17abacked Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Under | 35c | 311.71$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Under | 32c | 307.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.36 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…896cbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 33c | 275$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.25 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…9fdebacked Under | 45c | 264.78$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.78 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83d…c57ebacked Over | 65c | 255.12$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 28c | 247.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.48 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…19cfbacked Over | 75c | 230$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…6131backed Over | 66c | 210.61$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…97e6backed Over | 58c | 204.14$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa021…d5c9backed Under | 32c | 202.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…d8f1backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…b241backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.