TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfea3…d227backed Under28c26,394$7,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,969.8315644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under39c22,773$8,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,946.9584443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under28c9,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,479.912,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under45c8,967$4,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,931.711946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over67c8,124$5,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,473.0852461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over55c8,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.9928056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c73…68e7backed Over73c5,499$4,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,029.511566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over21c5,476$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.578,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over52c5,064$2,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,637.321,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under46c4,212$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,270.8369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Over54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.992744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over20c3,484$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.981,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Over72c3,472$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50020352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f92…1862backed Under28c3,077$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.635463%34 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9e5…1809backed Over72c3,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1604459.1%26 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over20c2,725$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.9456646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under42c2,722$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.7620353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b3b…07f7backed Over71c2,536$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.33850%19 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f7…4899backed Over73c2,500$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.971471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Over62c2,449$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.1120350.2%102 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under45c2,274$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over71c2,230$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.8166352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over72c2,043$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.776,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Over74c2,034$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…7f92backed Over74c2,000$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.821050%5 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over4c1,978$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0531222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under28c1,963$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.7964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under34c1,820$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.431,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under28c1,800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.981,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda39…c640backed Under28c1,794$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.941546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over72c1,595$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.4313759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d4…5f81backed Over19c1,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2854626.1%12 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Over72c1,400$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0083262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over33c1,400$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45736243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Over72c1,367$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.293060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over60c1,296$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.4279650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over75c1,274$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.7124159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under27c1,234$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.8121446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc061…2336backed Over72c1,141$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under43c1,116$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.62,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6101…23bcbacked Over23c999.49$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.885453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over37c976.44$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.1468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88d2…5517backed Over66c965.77$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.352240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under27c962.3$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.485657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under27c913$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.543052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over72c833.33$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0621…0417backed Under61c820.78$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Under28c772.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.559139.6%36 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over79c759.34$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over3c750$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.366732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8372…01e6backed Over72c733.33$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5282254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under27c718.03$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.7532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68db…ee32backed Over72c694.44$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008453.6%45 W · 39 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa13b…60c0backed Over72c694.44$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.6wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+53.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x65c9…cf56backed Over72c690.28$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4971866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Under37c672.2$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.484738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over50c650$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.525045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Under27c646.82$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.683545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0382…7aafbacked Over74c646.31$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ead…4cb2backed Over28c630.86$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.044146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Over51c630.59$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.23265.6%21 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+109.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under39c610.52$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.521,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Over51c600$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3047237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Over51c600$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over73c574.27$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42021574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under27c543.56$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.829243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xac23…9064backed Over71c529.77$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.131127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-51.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Over9c512.72$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.632334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…780cbacked Over78c511.62$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under43c500$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.262,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Over61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Over49c450$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.4853945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf677…2efebacked Over72c413.51$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.731361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Over8c399.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3344821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3199…2edabacked Over49c396.93$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.741631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Over49c389.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.79627.1%26 W · 70 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e90…a79ebacked Over55c371.14$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.843174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over22c370.01$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over71c363.04$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.252259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under46c351.61$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over28c317$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x863a…e495backed Under28c316.67$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a1…97e6backed Over64c313.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.431963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed Over70c311.99$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.395843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under66c303.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1195452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under27c300.98$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.721,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Over71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2134850%24 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Over51c300$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x616f…b241backed Over67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20115950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6323652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Over51c300$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15214449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over51c300$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15245544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Over51c300$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15217748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under21c277.22$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.8913747.4%65 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Over34c276.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.782744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9736…43c7backed Over74c271.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Over74c270.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f08…57bcbacked Over58c259.26$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.