NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe13b2fbe0be3729207e7c539e2967c5cf201d52df62336cde8d5eb5b9e8a1747
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 28c | 26,394$7,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,969.83 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 39c | 22,773$8,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,946.95 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 28c | 9,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,479.91 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 45c | 8,967$4,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,931.7 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 67c | 8,124$5,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,473.08 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.99 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…68e7backed Over | 73c | 5,499$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,029.51 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 5,476$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 52c | 5,064$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.32 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 46c | 4,212$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.83 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Over | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 20c | 3,484$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.98 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Over | 72c | 3,472$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Under | 28c | 3,077$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.63 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…1809backed Over | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 20c | 2,725$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.94 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 42c | 2,722$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.76 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3b…07f7backed Over | 71c | 2,536$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.3 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…4899backed Over | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.97 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Over | 62c | 2,449$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.11 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 2,274$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.6 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 71c | 2,230$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.81 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 72c | 2,043$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.77 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Over | 74c | 2,034$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…7f92backed Over | 74c | 2,000$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 4c | 1,978$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 28c | 1,963$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.79 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 34c | 1,820$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.43 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 28c | 1,800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.98 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Under | 28c | 1,794$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 72c | 1,595$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.43 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 33c | 1,400$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Over | 72c | 1,367$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.29 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 60c | 1,296$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.42 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 75c | 1,274$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.71 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 27c | 1,234$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.81 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…2336backed Over | 72c | 1,141$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 43c | 1,116$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.6 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Over | 23c | 999.49$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.88 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 37c | 976.44$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.14 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d2…5517backed Over | 66c | 965.77$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.35 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 27c | 962.3$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.48 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 27c | 913$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.5 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Over | 72c | 833.33$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…0417backed Under | 61c | 820.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Under | 28c | 772.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.55 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 79c | 759.34$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Over | 3c | 750$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…01e6backed Over | 72c | 733.33$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 27c | 718.03$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.75 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…ee32backed Over | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…60c0backed Over | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…cf56backed Over | 72c | 690.28$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…2c40backed Under | 37c | 672.2$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.48 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 50c | 650$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 27c | 646.82$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.68 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0382…7aafbacked Over | 74c | 646.31$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…4cb2backed Over | 28c | 630.86$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.04 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Over | 51c | 630.59$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.2 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 39c | 610.52$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.52 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Over | 51c | 600$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Over | 51c | 600$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 73c | 574.27$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 27c | 543.56$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.8 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…9064backed Over | 71c | 529.77$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Over | 9c | 512.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…780cbacked Over | 78c | 511.62$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 43c | 500$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.26 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Over | 49c | 450$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.48 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…2efebacked Over | 72c | 413.51$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.73 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Over | 8c | 399.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…2edabacked Over | 49c | 396.93$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Over | 49c | 389.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.7 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…a79ebacked Over | 55c | 371.14$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.84 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 22c | 370.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 71c | 363.04$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 351.61$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 28c | 317$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed Under | 28c | 316.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…97e6backed Over | 64c | 313.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.43 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed Over | 70c | 311.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.39 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 66c | 303.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 27c | 300.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.72 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Over | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Over | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…b241backed Over | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Over | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Over | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 21c | 277.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.89 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Over | 34c | 276.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9736…43c7backed Over | 74c | 271.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Over | 74c | 270.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Over | 58c | 259.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.