NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb984c1845720cb80d5556158b4929a2f08d247565b1681b8f7c6c72b9fa0c921
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Spurs | 53c | 27,497$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,797.59 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 47c | 23,969$11,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,195.18 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Thunder | 60c | 16,564$9,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,864.68 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 40c | 13,076$5,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,845.85 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 37c | 10,382$3,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,857.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Thunder | 59c | 10,122$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…89edbacked Spurs | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900.24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 58c | 7,822$4,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,562.16 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs | 42c | 5,952$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.38 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Thunder | 29c | 5,932$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.03 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Thunder | 59c | 5,758$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 56c | 5,555$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.84 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…57d9backed Spurs | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Spurs | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.99 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Thunder | 56c | 3,954$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.48 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Spurs | 42c | 3,219$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.07 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Thunder | 60c | 3,132$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.01 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.98 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 53c | 2,654$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.56 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Spurs | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 5c | 2,334$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Thunder | 7c | 2,008$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Spurs | 41c | 1,960$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.78 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 52c | 1,799$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.62 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed Spurs | 42c | 1,736$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Thunder | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 52c | 1,678$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.05 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Thunder | 59c | 1,451$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.09 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Spurs | 42c | 1,448$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.62 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Spurs | 39c | 1,433$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.21 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…2c40backed Thunder | 14c | 1,311$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.57 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…895dbacked Spurs | 59c | 1,304$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.86 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,300$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Thunder | 56c | 1,300$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.92 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Spurs | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Thunder | 58c | 1,083$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ff…b09cbacked Thunder | 46c | 1,073$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…a0ebbacked Thunder | 60c | 1,057$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.01 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Spurs | 41c | 1,024$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.39 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Thunder | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 41c | 980$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.2 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Thunder | 62c | 931.79$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.91 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Spurs | 74c | 860.19$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.19 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Spurs | 59c | 841.45$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.17 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Thunder | 63c | 839.58$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.54 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Thunder | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs | 53c | 735.85$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.45 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 59c | 701.06$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.81 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Spurs | 57c | 698.44$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.44 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Thunder | 58c | 649$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.42 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 55c | 633$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.15 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder | 59c | 550.01$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.82 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Thunder | 59c | 549.15$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Spurs | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Thunder | 21c | 498.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder | 43c | 497.26$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.71 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 35c | 491.8$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.13 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…a6aabacked Spurs | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Thunder | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 40c | 399.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.6 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…a14ebacked Thunder | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Spurs | 41c | 366$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.94 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Spurs | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Spurs | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Thunder | 58c | 340$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…d4b7backed Thunder | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Thunder | 59c | 338.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 346 | 61.6%213 W · 133 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Thunder | 35c | 328.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Spurs | 63c | 317.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Spurs | 42c | 314.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.69 | 185 | 34.1%63 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…e495backed Spurs | 50c | 306$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Thunder | 17c | 288$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Thunder | 53c | 287.58$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.42 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Thunder | 6c | 281.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 80c | 279.53$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Thunder | 60c | 260$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Thunder | 61c | 242.17$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.19 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Spurs | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Spurs | 41c | 230.01$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked Thunder | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Thunder | 45c | 228$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs | 40c | 225.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.77 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 41c | 222.2$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…4409backed Spurs | 41c | 207.32$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Spurs | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Thunder | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ba…9eefbacked Thunder | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Thunder | 35c | 194$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Thunder | 40c | 193.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Thunder | 6c | 190.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 59c | 187.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab24…9abebacked Spurs | 53c | 184.66$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…f846backed Spurs | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Thunder | 14c | 167.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 41c | 166.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Thunder | 14c | 166$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Thunder | 14c | 166$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Thunder | 47c | 137$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…8432backed Spurs | 55c | 135.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.