NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc58e24dda0574167c48f4b0e12df5af419bd196c6e2772d583357936805cf02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 52c | 38,186$19,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,819.1 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under | 48c | 12,150$5,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,317.92 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Under | 48c | 6,242$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.67 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Under | 48c | 6,069$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…0b1bbacked Under | 48c | 4,953$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 3,842$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.11 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Under | 49c | 2,753$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.93 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed Over | 54c | 2,678$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 46c | 2,222$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.77 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 49c | 2,217$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.71 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 53c | 2,212$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.33 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 2,168$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.28 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 45c | 1,853$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.32 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Over | 55c | 727.85$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 700$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 49c | 393.05$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.76 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 51c | 389.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…add4backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 52c | 209$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…3538backed Under | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7798…8199backed Under | 49c | 192.43$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…af1abacked Over | 53c | 181.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 139.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.79 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over | 54c | 111.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 48c | 109.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…c4afbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…d8f1backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 52c | 86.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 81.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Over | 53c | 74.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over | 52c | 69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 61.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 48c | 60.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ab…13a1backed Under | 48c | 56.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc7…7275backed Over | 53c | 46.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 42.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Over | 55c | 36.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…7acdbacked Over | 52c | 36.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 49c | 31.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f9…2b7bbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Under | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4057…3e70backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e6…db69backed Under | 53c | 25.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 49c | 25.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Under | 48c | 20.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…cdfebacked Under | 49c | 20.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.