NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d10d4d304861811a9ec2e63ecf5db2b8839f3110332e0e8f89c0556f76b05a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,343,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,467,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,343,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,686 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Spurs | 57c | 743,476$421,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321,729.27 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Thunder | 42c | 599,999$252,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251,999.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Thunder | 42c | 399,998$167,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167,999.04 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spurs | 58c | 376,605$217,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,179.24 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Spurs | 58c | 344,828$200,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,827.59 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs | 67c | 260,562$175,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,741.88 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…3eacbacked Thunder | 21c | 241,966$51,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,921.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Thunder | 43c | 234,422$100,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,042.57 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Thunder | 42c | 191,109$80,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,778.01 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Thunder | 23c | 187,904$42,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,805.8 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Thunder | 1c | 156,582$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.82 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Thunder | 19c | 147,240$28,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,628.14 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Thunder | 19c | 118,042$22,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,708.88 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Spurs | 58c | 110,087$63,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,236.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…f3f0backed Thunder | 29c | 110,000$32,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,399.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 34c | 101,982$34,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,791.69 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 73c | 98,749$72,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,604.15 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs | 75c | 97,258$72,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,618.32 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Thunder | 41c | 89,998$37,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,277.51 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Thunder | 24c | 88,491$20,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,850.99 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Thunder | 43c | 84,375$36,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,229.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187a…a22bbacked Thunder | 43c | 80,654$34,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,681.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Thunder | 2c | 75,900$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.99 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Spurs | 57c | 71,273$40,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,373.44 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Thunder | 42c | 69,075$29,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,011.29 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Thunder | 31c | 57,349$17,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,591.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Spurs | 59c | 54,532$32,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,371.65 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Thunder | 44c | 49,500$21,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,780 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 40c | 46,498$18,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,439.4 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Thunder | 24c | 44,788$10,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,708.49 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs | 58c | 43,103$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,103.45 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Thunder | 7c | 42,016$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.31 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…2640backed Thunder | 22c | 42,000$9,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,088.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 65c | 41,500$27,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,354.96 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Thunder | 43c | 40,174$17,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,274.81 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs | 71c | 40,048$28,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,440.98 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Thunder | 44c | 40,000$17,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,428.43 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Thunder | 19c | 39,783$7,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,742.68 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…88e5backed Thunder | 43c | 39,149$16,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,834.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Thunder | 0c | 36,623$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Thunder | 42c | 36,000$15,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,119.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…4717backed Thunder | 24c | 35,091$8,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,344.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Thunder | 1c | 34,757$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.48 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Spurs | 57c | 34,740$19,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,938.09 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Thunder | 43c | 34,295$14,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,746.94 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Spurs | 55c | 32,117$17,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,452.68 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Thunder | 41c | 31,610$12,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,870.41 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Spurs | 56c | 31,250$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,750 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Thunder | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,899.95 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…1809backed Spurs | 74c | 30,000$22,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.96 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 69c | 29,634$20,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,091.82 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x890e…db10backed Thunder | 43c | 27,238$11,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,712.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 62c | 26,888$16,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,298.36 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…16d4backed Thunder | 2c | 26,326$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.37 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Spurs | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 74c | 24,626$18,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,511.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a88…4c59backed Spurs | 58c | 24,564$14,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,316.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Thunder | 44c | 24,348$10,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,713.12 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Spurs | 57c | 21,930$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,429.82 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Thunder | 35c | 21,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Thunder | 45c | 20,999$9,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,404.48 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 1c | 20,615$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Thunder | 45c | 20,500$9,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,189.97 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Thunder | 1c | 20,200$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Spurs | 72c | 20,064$14,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,624.16 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Thunder | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spurs | 62c | 20,000$12,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,519.97 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Spurs | 57c | 19,508$11,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,388.39 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Thunder | 44c | 19,508$8,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,583.47 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Thunder | 44c | 19,000$8,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,449.98 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Spurs | 75c | 18,847$14,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,712.09 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Thunder | 27c | 18,030$4,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950.6 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…6facbacked Thunder | 25c | 17,304$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,285.65 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spurs | 62c | 16,285$10,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,139.9 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked Spurs | 58c | 16,150$9,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,782.88 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 58c | 16,107$9,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,821.9 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3c92backed Thunder | 31c | 16,061$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…cc85backed Thunder | 41c | 16,059$6,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,636.43 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Thunder | 43c | 16,023$6,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,889.89 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Thunder | 25c | 16,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.98 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Spurs | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Spurs | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.92 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…99bdbacked Thunder | 44c | 14,400$6,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,335.78 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Thunder | 29c | 14,331$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Spurs | 75c | 14,284$10,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617.27 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Spurs | 57c | 14,000$7,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,020 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…0632backed Thunder | 43c | 13,777$5,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,924.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Thunder | 34c | 13,664$4,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,661 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Thunder | 43c | 13,636$5,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,863.61 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…e62ebacked Thunder | 0c | 13,563$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…5d88backed Spurs | 74c | 13,390$9,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Thunder | 44c | 12,910$5,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,687.53 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…dbc7backed Thunder | 24c | 12,890$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Spurs | 58c | 12,400$7,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,208 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Thunder | 27c | 12,054$3,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,254.7 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ca…25d3backed Spurs | 53c | 12,005$6,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,642.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Spurs | 57c | 12,000$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Spurs | 58c | 11,905$6,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000.1 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…c98fbacked Thunder | 25c | 11,380$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.64 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spursthis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.