TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,838 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c76…c926backed No53c1,585$840 inLost-$840.12,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Yes47c1,452$682 inWon+$770.5214045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…09f8backed Yes48c419.89$200 inWon+$219.89966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes46c409.22$190 inWon+$219.2219951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No55c301$166 inLost-$165.555358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No50c252.76$126 inLost-$126.1633049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No54c217.99$118 inLost-$117.7149852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes45c200$90 inWon+$11040053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No51c116.81$60 inLost-$59.5879650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No53c100$53 inLost-$5385449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No54c90$49 inLost-$48.643752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No44c88.23$38 inLost-$38.4853842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed No54c88$48 inLost-$47.529947.5%47 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Yes45c70$32 inWon+$38.515351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Yes47c60.58$28 inWon+$32.3210843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x802e…76fdbacked Yes75c59$44 inWon+$14.585887.9%51 W · 7 L+13.6wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+35.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed No56c50.79$28 inLost-$28.1918853.7%101 W · 87 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Yes47c42.98$20 inWon+$22.985048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d2…5643backed Yes51c42.45$22 inWon+$20.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf028…6caebacked Yes48c41.67$20 inWon+$21.67650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No53c40.85$22 inLost-$21.6590863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No54c40$22 inLost-$21.696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes47c27.66$13 inWon+$14.6622453.1%119 W · 105 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No54c19.21$10 inLost-$10.4233356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.