NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66cd2051c40fb21a1365d48dd4689eb2bcb69abe5948565f82ee664286e73195
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $577,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $571,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $577,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 52c | 100,058$52,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,027.78 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Under | 52c | 100,000$51,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,199.94 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 99,114$48,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,051.61 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 49c | 60,659$29,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,522.77 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 50,712$24,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,339.24 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Under | 52c | 43,577$22,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,036.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Over | 48c | 30,000$14,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,299.98 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…89edbacked Under | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,699.89 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 48c | 28,698$13,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,775.01 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Under | 53c | 20,534$10,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,650.93 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 48c | 18,750$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 15,733$6,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,683.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 52c | 15,491$8,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,435.68 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 52c | 14,172$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,855.48 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 13,134$6,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,344.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 51c | 12,653$6,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.75 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Under | 53c | 10,638$5,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.86 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 9,003$3,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,986.35 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 7,228$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.98 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…bb2fbacked Under | 51c | 6,666$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 6,490$2,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.82 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…4363backed Over | 50c | 4,867$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.62 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Over | 48c | 4,810$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.8 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 50c | 4,802$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Over | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.95 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 50c | 3,965$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 3,670$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.49 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 3,257$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.24 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Over | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.82 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 48c | 2,798$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.04 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 51c | 2,594$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 2c | 2,432$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 52c | 2,276$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.47 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 48c | 2,269$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.77 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…25f9backed Over | 48c | 2,033$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.07 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed Over | 28c | 2,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.98 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.95 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 49c | 1,989$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.65 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…796cbacked Over | 50c | 1,956$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 51c | 1,956$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.95 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed Over | 2c | 1,654$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under | 69c | 1,552$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.33 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Over | 50c | 1,474$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 48c | 1,465$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.94 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.21 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 48c | 1,426$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.03 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under | 51c | 1,302$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.83 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 52c | 1,246$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.06 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,245$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.17 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 49c | 1,228$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 1,204$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.2 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 51c | 1,200$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 48c | 1,194$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.38 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Under | 51c | 1,027$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.1 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 4c | 1,008$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Over | 49c | 1,000$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.37 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Under | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Over | 49c | 999.98$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.36 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Under | 55c | 983.73$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.32 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Over | 49c | 936.95$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.69 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 49c | 913.45$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.59 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 49c | 886.97$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.8 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 48c | 877.08$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 19c | 776.11$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.69 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Over | 47c | 770$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.9 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 52c | 690.48$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.6 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 46c | 654.05$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.67 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 49c | 640.59$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.62 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 53c | 626.42$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.42 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…7972backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 599.25$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.64 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over | 49c | 575.99$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.23 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Over | 48c | 507.37$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 47c | 459.44$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.94 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Over | 49c | 448.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.01 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 48c | 427.74$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.88 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…1bdfbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over | 49c | 400.22$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.95 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Thunder vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.