TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$577,491
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$571,756

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $577,491 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under52c100,058$52,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,027.786445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Under52c100,000$51,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,199.943844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c99,114$48,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,051.6164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over49c60,659$29,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,522.7785742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over48c50,712$24,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,339.2455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c3f…75cfbacked Under52c43,577$22,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,036.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+127.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Over48c30,000$14,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,299.9818651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28d7…89edbacked Under51c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,699.892138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over48c28,698$13,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,775.017650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under53c20,534$10,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,650.9311654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00014842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over48c18,750$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c15,733$6,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,683.118,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under52c15,491$8,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,435.6837355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under52c14,172$7,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,855.4866250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c13,134$6,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,344.064,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under51c12,653$6,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,199.751,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Under53c10,638$5,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,999.863467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over44c9,003$3,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,986.351,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c7,228$3,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,471.986,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Under51c6,666$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,266.342050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over44c6,490$2,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846.8252150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Under53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3504761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c0a…4363backed Over50c4,867$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.623033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Over48c4,810$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.828643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under50c4,802$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40119359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Over48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9589853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over50c3,965$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c3,670$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.491,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under50c3,257$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.2469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Over48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over48c3,000$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.8265045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over48c2,798$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.0418444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under51c2,594$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27149244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20056843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over2c2,432$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3231222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under52c2,276$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.475358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over48c2,269$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0892653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under51c2,222$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.7721446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea8…25f9backed Over48c2,033$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.072744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9607132.4%23 W · 48 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-36.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Over28c2,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.83647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9816050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cc…0b39backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.953953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over49c1,989$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.6520154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x078f…796cbacked Over50c1,956$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c1,956$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.9562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Under52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.081947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed Over2c1,654$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under69c1,552$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.332080%16 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over50c1,474$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7372857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over48c1,465$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.941,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c1,429$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.212,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over48c1,426$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.0366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under51c1,302$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.8323742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under52c1,246$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.0630448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c1,245$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.174,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over49c1,228$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c1,204$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.21,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over51c1,200$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61011757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over48c1,194$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.3815759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under51c1,027$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.15269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over4c1,008$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.321,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over49c1,000$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.3786641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9925651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under51c999.98$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.997950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over49c999.98$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.3643438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Under55c983.73$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.3218844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3918748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Over49c936.95$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.6917247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over49c913.45$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.5956646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over49c886.97$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.816048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over48c877.08$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4216448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Over49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3923562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Under51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3113757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over19c776.11$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.691,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Over47c770$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.923539.1%92 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32991050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under52c690.48$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over46c654.05$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.6725554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over49c640.59$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.6238947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under53c626.42$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.4214049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc789…7972backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016146.6%75 W · 86 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over48c599.25$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.641,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over49c575.99$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.2319745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Over48c507.37$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.541457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508155.6%45 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef5…8898backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over47c459.44$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9450346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Over49c448.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0117653.4%94 W · 82 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over48c427.74$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.881,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x598a…1bdfbacked Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over49c400.22$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.955152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19261740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.